To: Frank A. Coluccio who wrote (20457 ) 4/9/2007 1:49:51 PM From: Rob S. Respond to of 46821 Everyone is pushing for similar price points: sub $100 for opening up of large populations in under-developed regions such as India and most of China (major industrial areas in China and India are a world apart from rural areas). We have talked to major operators, equipment and chip suppliers: a much broader market will open up as price points for basic WAN modems and mobile user devices shrink bellow $75 and $50 price points. To help that, governments in some countries are likely to help subsidize deployments into rural areas by giving preferential low cost licenses and in some cases direct subsidies. And special use applications such as schools, libraries, health clinics, agricultural extension training and information services and government support WBA are being subsidized. WiMAX is not a unique situation: these price metrics apply to both 3G cellular, WiMAX and future versions of systems including LTE and WiMAXm (802.16m being developed for IMT-Advanced similar to LTE). 4G, as outlined by ITU, is a 'multi-service platform' rather than just a mobile or fixed-nomadic type system. WiMAX based on 802.16e uses several methods such as adaptive modulation, multiple hand-off mechanisms, and flexible scaling of features and underlying methods to be rightly called a multi-service platform. 802.16m will go even further and will take advantage of 802.16j MMR, Mobile Multi-hop Relay, capabilities to provide more flexibility and higher bandwidth. LTE will use somewhat different implementation of the same basic methodology: it will be optimized more for long range mobility than high speed data on the up-link but will also be made highly adaptive to fit a wide range of applications. Keep in mind that the fastest growth segment, although small compared to the entire market, for 3G is 'fempto cells' use for in-building cellphone access and, in some cases data networking. 3G modems are being used, largely due to high volume/low cost advantages, for rural data networking in developing countries. The fempto cell market is 3-5X the numbers of WiMAX subscriber and base station units sold at the current point (pre-mobile). So, the market development along the lines of multi-service capabilities is already apparent in the market... not just theory or desires of bureaucrats. WiMAX SoCs and programmable devices is shaping up to be very competitive. Suppliers agree that it is only a matter of time and volume for WiMAX SoCs to reach sub $25 pricing. Multi-mode WiMAX plus 3G chips prices have to consider IPR licensing for CDMA into the equation... but there are multiple sources including TI+Motorola, Samsung+Beceem, Intel (WiMAX 2300: HSDPA+WiMAX+WiFi) and Sequans+Alcatel/Siemens, and Comsys (WiMAX plus GSM/EDGE are making chips or working together to provide WiMAX+ 3-3.5G multi-mode chip sets. -Robert Syputa