SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (65015)4/5/2007 11:42:05 AM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 116555
 
You actually have a point though. It is not a good leading indicator but recessions are associated with market plunges. Those plunges may be at the onset or during but they just do not tend to precede a recession as the chart showed.

In this case I expect a sudden, persistent, and likely huge drop at some point.

Mish



To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (65015)4/5/2007 11:43:03 AM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 116555
 
The Changing Business of Real Estate (Part 1)
globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
Note: This post originally appeared in Minyanville along with this announcement.

Minyanville is proud to introduce the newest professor to the mix, Mike Shedlock. Mike Shedlock, or Mish, is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management, an asset management firm. Mish has his own blog called Mish’s Global Economic Trend Analysis, currently the 4th top rated economic blog in the country.

It's a distinct pleasure to be able to join Todd Harrison, the rest of the professors, and all of the critters (especially Sammy and Snapper) at Minyanville. The professors at Minyanville have helped me both personally and professionally. I hope to return that favor to others.

Mike Shedlock / Mish
globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com



To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (65015)4/8/2007 12:48:21 PM
From: bart13  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 

Guess I should have looked at the data more carefully.


That's almost literally one of the themes of my web site and charts.

There's so effing much false and "everybody knows" data out there (I bought into much of it too) that I'm almost literally paranoid about various conclusions or even analysis of "respected" folk... and that's even before starting to deal with data quality and "behind the curtain" data. *sigh*