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To: stockman_scott who wrote (104457)	4/12/2007 5:34:59 AM
From: T L Comiskey	Respond to of 362366

Freeze Hits Wheat Crop Across the Country USAgNet - 04/10/2007 The Easter weekend freeze dealt the wheat crop a severe blow. Temperatures dropped into the teens in northern and central Kansas and the low 20s in southern Kansas. Lows fell to the mid 20s into north central Oklahoma. More than half the wheat crop was in the joint stage in Kansas and some of the crop in the affected region of Oklahoma was in the boot stage. Crop losses could be substantial in that important area of the hard red winter wheat region. Damaging cold extended into the Delta and Southeast as well. Temperatures fell to the low 20s from southeastern Missouri across Tennessee to North Carolina. Most of the wheat in those areas probably ranges from the joint to boot state so heavy damage is quite possible. The extent of the crop losses will be difficult to assess. There is little doubt that many fields will suffer heavy losses but wheat in the joint stage may be able to stage a respectable recovery. Damage to the primary tiller can allow secondary tillers to compensate enough to regain a surprising amount of yield potential. However, the crop will need favorable weather conditions to take advantage of that potential. A similar freeze occurred on April 12, 1997. Initial assessments reflected heavy damage and crop condition ratings nose-dived. Despite the severe freeze, yields turned out surprisingly favorable and USDA wheat production estimates increased sharply from May until July. Wheat futures will be up sharply in the near term in reaction to the freeze. The uncertainty will continue to underpin the market for the next couple of weeks. Beyond late April, corn planting progress and more reliable assessments of the freeze damage will determine market direction.

To: stockman_scott who wrote (104457)	4/12/2007 5:37:19 AM
From: T L Comiskey	Respond to of 362366

"Between 1945 and 1955, sea temperature of the surface of the tropical Pacific commonly dipped below 66.5F, but after 1976, it has rarely been below 77F. "The western tropical Pacific is the warmest area in the global ocean and is a great regulator of climate world wide." says Martin Hoerling of the Climate Diagnostics Centre at Boulder Co., " for among other things it controls most tropical precipitation And.. 'the position of the jet stream,...' whose winds bring snow and rain to N America." In 1977, National Geographic ran a feature on the crazy weather of the previous year, which included unprecedented mild conditions in Alaska and blizzards in the lower 48 states. The immediate cause was a shift in the jet stream... ........................................... Chapter 9 The Unraveling World pg 88 The Weather Makers