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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Think4Yourself who wrote (76026)4/16/2007 1:38:43 PM
From: ChanceIsRespond to of 306849
 
>>>All it means is that they might not go bankrupt right away. It sounds like they are selling the vast majority of the company, at a loss.<<<

That is my general belief.

Such is always the case with a major market downturn. Do you want to hang onto your assets and risk the whole company on a quick recovery, or do you want to take your losses now and hope that you have enough left in the tank to recover.

I would say that the BK risk went down a notch or two with this move - equivalent to postponing BK. The stock price pop would be shorts taking profits. With the sale of the assets, one has to figure that the potential for revenue growth is severely atrophied. Why invest in a company which can't grow profits? I would figure that its stock would resume a decline after a consolidation period at this level. At best it will flop around sideways for a year or so.

The rest of the home builders and subprimes are rallying. I would have to figure that the Fremont news is the catalyst. False hopes I figure. The deal isn't done, and we have yet to find out if it was one or both first born sons Fremont had to surrender.



To: Think4Yourself who wrote (76026)4/16/2007 4:40:27 PM
From: Lizzie TudorRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
I have been watching FMT as a long and regrettably did not bite.

But while they did sell their subprime portfolio at a loss FOR THEM, the point is, they found a buyer.

I don't think the subprimes are shorts anymore.