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Politics : American Presidential Politics and foreign affairs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: sandintoes who wrote (19714)5/3/2007 12:37:10 PM
From: Peter Dierks  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 71588
 
Ann Coulter is a scream. She has the art of political satire down.



To: sandintoes who wrote (19714)5/17/2007 11:55:30 PM
From: Peter Dierks  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 71588
 
Rising in the East
China and Japan, pursuing power--and trying to keep it.

BY EMILY PARKER
Thursday, May 17, 2007 12:01 a.m. EDT

The day after the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor, the shockwaves through Washington were echoed in the words of one New York congressman: The Japanese have gone stark, raving mad.

Actually, they had not. The seemingly irrational military strike was in keeping with a long tradition of Japan's going to extreme lengths to pursue power and prestige. Pearl Harbor is just a particularly catastrophic example of America's failure to read Tokyo's intentions. Long before Dec. 7, 1941, and in the decades since, Japan has demonstrated its capacity to stun the world.

Kenneth Pyle, a professor at the University of Washington, is hardly predicting another Pearl Harbor. But the message of his "Rising Japan" is clear: Don't be fooled by appearances. Japan may seem to be sitting on the sidelines and watching China's rise as a formidable Asian power, but U.S. policy makers would be unwise to assume that this passivity will continue.

Japan has been a relatively docile global citizen since World War II, largely because of a postwar constitution, written by the victors, that shackles its military. In the modern era, many view Japan as a tradition-bound country where change is glacial and pacifism deeply rooted. But looks can be deceiving. Mr. Pyle shows how, through much of its history, the country has shown a startling willingness to jettison tradition and start anew.

"Japan's role in the international system has not been driven by great transcendent ideals or universal principles," Mr. Pyle writes. Instead, its behavior "has been marked by its pragmatic, often opportunistic pursuit of power."

The Meiji Restoration is a case in point. Fed up with economic backwardness and an inferior global status, Japan in a matter of decades refashioned itself, taking cues from the West. The young samurai who seized power in 1868 "were remorseless in their readiness to sacrifice Japan's own time-honored institutions to the demands of foreign policy," Mr. Pyle writes. The Meiji leaders created the most centralized state in the nation's history, imported thousands of advisers and adopted European legal codes.

In the 1930s, Japan saw another opportunity. "Other powers were forming closed regional spheres, the international system was collapsing, and fascism seemed to be the wave of the future," Mr. Pyle notes. The Japanese leaders "did not want to miss the bus." Such conditions may have prompted Japan to invade Manchuria in 1931 and then launch a wider war with China in 1937.

Japan's defeat in World War II marked the end of more than a decade of aggression. But the seeming meekness that followed is easy to misinterpret. It was widely thought to express "the trauma of defeat, the nuclear allergy, and a deeply divided public." What was rarely recognized was that "Japanese realism was as strong as ever. It was simply being exercised in a different fashion," Mr. Pyle argues. Or, to put it more bluntly: "Pacifism" allowed Japan's leaders to focus on economic growth, leaving the defense burden to the U.S.

Today, external factors may once again drive Japan to change its ways. Threats from North Korea, for example, may spur Japan to revise its constitution so that it can take a more robust military posture. Or maybe, the pursuit of status will drive change. Mr. Pyle describes how the economic realism behind Japan's passive defense role has come at the cost of self-respect and national pride.

For decades the Japanese may have seemed content to focus on the economy--with wildly varying degrees of success--but signs of discontent have not been hard to find. Perhaps the most theatrical example came in 1970, when the novelist Yukio Mishima "drew the nation's attention to the loss of its samurai spirit," as Mr. Pyle puts is, by going to the Self-Defense Forces headquarters and committing hara-kiri, or ritual suicide. "A deferential stance," Mr. Pyle contends, "was never easy for a proud and spirited people."

If Mr. Pyle is right and Japan is on the rise, then what about China? Its growing power and importance are widely taken for granted. But in "China: Fragile Superpower" Susan Shirk argues that China's Communist leaders are a lot more insecure than they let on.

Ms. Shirk, a former deputy assistant secretary of state (1997-2000) responsible for U.S. relations with China, says that Chinese leaders are haunted by a sense of impending doom. And with good reason: The wounds of Tiananmen Square have never fully healed. "In 1989 the Communist dynasty almost ended in its fortieth year," Ms. Shirk reminds us. "For more than six weeks, millions of students demonstrated for democracy in Beijing's Tiananmen Square and 132 other cities in every Chinese province. The Communist Party split over how to deal with the demonstrations. And the People's Republic just barely survived."

The specter of public unrest still spooks Beijing. Ms. Shirk lists a host of domestic threats, such as uprisings by Chinese peasants who are frustrated with burdens like high local taxes and land seizures. Given that farmers make up 60% of the population, Ms. Shirk writes, they "certainly would gain from electoral democracy."

Another potential source of trouble is Chinese nationalism, bubbling up from below. The Communist Party, in constant fear of mass protests, now finds itself hampered by a population that may be more aggressively nationalistic than the government itself. Of course, the party fueled such nationalism for years by focusing the attention of China's media and schools on inflammatory subjects, such as Japan's wartime brutality.

Beijing may especially regret spending so much time propagandizing about the importance of Taiwan. Chinese textbooks have insisted that "the 'century of humiliation' will not end until China is strong enough to achieve reunification," Ms. Shirk notes. But such a claim puts the party in an impossible position. It can't afford a war over Taiwan, which the U.S. might feel compelled to defend; but it cannot appear to allow Taiwan to shatter the status quo by formally declaring independence. "It is universally believed in China," Ms. Shirk writes, that the party "would fall if it allowed Taiwan to become independent without putting up a fight."

Thus Beijing's insecurities should be the real concern for U.S. policy makers, not its "rise." And the stakes are high: Ms. Shirk even goes so far as to claim that "preventing war with China is one of the most difficult foreign policy challenges our country faces." She argues that America should avoid overreacting to China's economic rise with protectionism; nor should it go about "inflaming [Chinese] nationalist public opinion by public hectoring or chest thumping." Such actions might prompt Beijing--counterproductively--to try to look tough on America.

We still have no clear vision of what a world with a strong Japan and a powerful China would be like. What we do know is that they are both proud nations that demand to be taken seriously on the world stage. They pose similar challenges to Washington as well. Ms. Shirk writes that, after many years of sitting on the sidelines, "the Chinese leaders and public crave respect and approval from the world community, especially from the United States." Hmm, sounds a bit like Japan.

Ms. Parker is assistant editorial features editor at The Wall Street Journal. You can buy "Japan Rising" and "China: Fragile Superpower" from the OpinionJournal bookstore.

opinionjournal.com



To: sandintoes who wrote (19714)11/27/2007 12:52:00 AM
From: Peter Dierks  Respond to of 71588
 
I disagree with this, but different opinions make us examine our own.

Obama Is Right on Iran
Talking with Tehran may help us wage the wars we need to fight.

BY SHELBY STEELE
Monday, November 26, 2007 12:01 a.m. EST

After a recent Democratic presidential debate, Barack Obama proclaimed that were he to become president, he would talk directly even to America's worst enemies. One could imagine President Obama as a kind of superhero taking off in Air Force One for Tehran, there to be greeted on the tarmac by the villainous Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.

Was this a serious foreign policy proposal or simply a campaign counterpunch? Hillary Clinton had already held up this idea as evidence of Mr. Obama's naiveté. Wasn't he just pushing back, displaying his commitment to "diplomacy"--now the most glamorous word in the Democratic "antiwar" lexicon?

Whatever Mr. Obama's intent, history has given his idea a rather bad reputation. Neville Chamberlain springs to mind as a man who was famously seduced into the wishful thinking that seems central to the idea of talking to one's enemies. Today few Americans--left or right--would be comfortable with direct talks between our president and a character like Mr. Ahmadinejad. Wouldn't such talk only puff up extremist leaders and make America into a supplicant?

On its face, Mr. Obama's idea seems little more than a far-left fantasy. But perhaps it looks this way because we are viewing it through too narrow a conception of warfare. We tend to think of our wars as miniature versions of World War II, a war of national survival. But since then we have fought wars in which our national survival was not immediately, or even remotely, at stake. We have fought wars in distant lands for rather abstract reasons, and there has been the feeling that these were essentially wars of choice: We could win or lose without jeopardizing our nation's survival.

Mr. Obama's idea clearly makes no sense in a context of national survival. It would have been absurd for President Roosevelt to fly to Berlin and talk to Hitler. But Mr. Obama's idea does make sense in the buildup to wars where survival is not at risk--wars that are more a matter of urgent choice than of absolute necessity.

I think of such wars as essentially wars of discipline. Their purpose is to preserve a favorable balance of power that is already in place in the world. We fight these wars not to survive but--once a menace has arisen--to discipline the world back into a balance of power that best ensures peace. We fight as enforcers rather than as rebels or as patriots fighting for survival. Wars of discipline are pre-emptive by definition. They pre-empt menace to the peaceful world order. We don't sacrifice blood and treasure for change; we sacrifice for constancy.

Conversely, in wars of survival, like World War II, we fight to achieve a favorable balance of power--one in which a peace is established that guarantees our sovereignty and survival. We fight unapologetically for dominance, and we determine to defeat our enemy by any means necessary. We do not harry ourselves much over the style of warfare--whether the locals like us, where the line between interrogation and torture might lie, whether or not we are solicitous of our captive's religious beliefs or dietary strictures. There is no feeling in society that we can afford to lose these wars. And so we never have.

All this points to one of the great foreign policy dilemmas of our time: In the eyes of many around the world, and many Americans as well, we lack the moral authority to fight the wars that we actually fight because they are wars more of discipline than of survival, more of choice than of necessity. It is hard to equate the disciplining of a pre-existing world order--a status quo--with fighting for one's life. When survival is at stake, there is no lack of moral authority, no self-doubt and no antiwar movement of any consequence. But when war is not immediately related to survival, when a society is fundamentally secure and yet goes to war anyway, moral authority becomes a profound problem. Suddenly such a society is drawn into a struggle for moral authority that is every bit as intense as its struggle for military victory.

America does not do so well in its disciplinary wars (the Gulf War is an arguable exception) because we begin these wars with only a marginal moral authority and then, as time passes, even this meager store of moral capital bleeds away. Inevitably, into this vacuum comes a clamorous and sanctimonious antiwar movement that sets the bar for American moral authority so high that we must virtually lose the war in order to meet it. There must be no torture, no collateral damage, no cultural insensitivity, no mistreatment of prisoners and no truly aggressive or definitive display of American military power. In other words, no victory.

Meanwhile our enemy is fighting all out to achieve a new balance of power. As we anguish over the possibility of collateral damage, this enemy practices collateral damage as a tactic of war. In Iraq, al Qaeda blows up women and children simply to keep alive the chaos of war that gives it cover. This enemy's sense of moral authority--as misguided as it may be--is so strong that it compensates for its lack of sophisticated military hardware.

On the other hand, our great military might is not enough to compensate for our weak sense of moral authority, our ambivalence. If we have the greatest military in history, it is also true that we lack our enemy's talent for true belief. Our rationale for war is difficult to articulate, always arguable, and distinctly removed from immediate necessity. Our society is deeply divided and there is a vigorous antiwar movement ready to capitalize on our every military setback.

This is the pattern of disciplinary wars: Their execution is always undermined by their inbuilt lack of moral authority. In the end, our might neutralizes our might. Our vast power makes all such wars come off as bullying, even when we fight selflessly for the freedom of others.

Great power scares unless it is exercised within a painstaking moral framework. Thus, moral authority is the single greatest challenge of American foreign policy. This is especially so in wars of discipline, wars fought far away and for abstract reasons. We argue for such wars as if they were wars of survival because we want the moral authority that comes so automatically to them. But Iraq is a war of discipline, and no more. If we left Iraq tomorrow there would be terrible consequences all around, but we would survive.

Our broader war against terror, on the other hand, is a war of survival. And it is rich in moral authority. September 11 introduced necessity and, in its name, we have an open license to destroy that stateless network of terrorism that attacked us. America is not divided over this. It was Iraq--a war of discipline--that brought us division. This does not mean that the Iraq war is invalid. Ultimately, it may prove to be a far more important war in preserving a balance of power favorable to America than our war against al Qaeda.

The point is that wars of discipline will always have to be self-consciously fought on a moral as well as a military front. And the more we engage the moral struggle, the more license we will have to fight these wars as wars of survival. In other words, our military effectiveness now requires nothing less than a smart and daring brinkmanship of moral authority.

If Mr. Obama's idea was born of mushy idealism, it could work far better as a hard-nosed moral brinkmanship. Were an American president (or a secretary of state for the less daring) to land in Tehran, the risk to American prestige would be enormous. The mullahs would make us characters in a tale of their own grandeur. Yet moral authority would redound to us precisely for making ourselves vulnerable to this kind of exploitation. The world would witness not the stereotype of American bullying, but the reality of American selflessness, courage and moral confidence.

If we were snubbed, if all our entreaties to peace were flouted, if war became inevitable, then we would have the moral authority to fight as if for survival. Either our high-risk diplomacy works or we have the license to fight to win. In the meantime, we give our allies around the world every reason to respect us.

This is not an argument for Mr. Obama's candidacy, only for his idea. It is a good one because it allows America the advantage of its own great character.

Mr. Steele, a research fellow at Stanford University's Hoover Institution, is the author, most recently, of "A Bound Man: Why We Are Excited About Obama and Why He Can't Win," published next week by Free Press.

opinionjournal.com



To: sandintoes who wrote (19714)12/25/2007 3:20:45 AM
From: Peter Dierks  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71588
 
The Plight of Bethlehem
Why Christians can't visit the holy shrines in Jerusalem.

BY KENNETH L. WOODWARD
Monday, December 24, 2007 12:01 a.m. EST

A mere nine kilometers separates Bethlehem, where Jesus was born, from Jerusalem, where he was crucified, died and was buried. Pilgrims can easily visit both the Church of the Nativity and the Church of the Holy Sepulcher in half a day--as long as they are not Palestinian Christians. Israel's security wall, its restrictive exit permit system, roadblocks and military checkpoints now make it impossible for most Holy Land Christians to visit the shrines that, for all Christians, make the Holy Land holy.

Like East Jerusalem, Bethlehem is part of the West Bank, not the State of Israel. Temporary exit visas to go from one to the other to worship--or see a doctor or even visit relatives--are hard to come by, of brief duration even when granted, and always subject to the whims of Israeli soldiers.

The squeeze is economic as well as religious. Few producers in Bethlehem can get their goods to markets in Jerusalem. Fewer buyers can get to Bethlehem to sustain its markets. Tourism, a huge segment of the city's economy, is up since 2004, but it is still far from robust.

When last I was in Bethlehem, in 2000, an average of more than 91,000 tourists visited the city monthly. This year, the average is half that number. When buses do arrive, tourists are routinely whisked in and out without time to shop. As a consequence, nearly 100 hotels and restaurants have closed since my last visit. More than 250 workshops that made olive wood crèches, mother-of-pearl crosses and other religious souvenirs have disappeared too. And so, of course, have many of the stores that sold them. In sum, where Bethlehem once enjoyed one of the lowest urban unemployment rates in the Holy Land, it now has one of the highest--by some estimates as much as 60%.

Recently on a visit, former British prime minister Tony Blair tried to boost tourism to Bethlehem, even though his own country, like the U.S., discourages its citizens from traveling there. He also called on Israel, which bans its own citizens from traveling to the West Bank, to ease its restrictions.

Israel, of course, must protect its security. But it cannot blame the Christians' dire circumstances on the second intifada: Muslims are suffering just as much as the tiny Christian minority. Indeed, Bethlehem has historically been one place where Muslim-Christian relations have been remarkably friendly. Now, however, urban Bethlehem finds itself encircled by Israeli settlements, and where the settlers go, there follows the concrete wall, topped in places by razor wire and snipers' towers.

For example, the wall is being completed around Beit Jala, separating this Christian village from 70% of its lands, which are mostly owned by Christian families. Some of the families are attempting to contest the confiscations in court, but construction--and the confiscation--goes on.

In Bethlehem itself, the wall severs the city from nearly three-fourths of its western villages' remaining agricultural lands, as well as water resources that have served the region since Roman times. This area contains much of Bethlehem's remaining room for development and its nature reserve, where city dwellers took their children.

From the Church of the Nativity, Christians can also look out on Har Homa ("Wall Mountain"), a verdant Jewish settlement on a hillside that was formerly Christian land. Since the Annapolis, Md., meeting just a few weeks ago, the Israelis have approved construction on 300 additional homes--despite an official complaint from U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice--that further constrict the city's population.

Unfortunately, many Christians in the Holy Land have no legal recourse to this absorption of their lands and property. As part of the 1993 treaty between Israel and the Vatican, by which the Holy See officially recognized the State of Israel, Israel was to codify the rights of Christian churches and institutions as part of a comprehensive agreement. But because of disputes over taxation of churches and related issues, the Knesset has yet to act. The Franciscans, the Sisters of Charity and other religious groups both Roman Catholic and Greek Orthodox have had property confiscated and Christian housing destroyed.

Israel cannot afford to lose the Palestinian Christians: They have long represented a moderating force. A century ago, they accounted for 25% or more of the Holy Land population. Today, they represent less than 1.5%. Since 2000, Bethlehem alone has lost 10% of its Christian population.

Palestinian Christians regard their ancestors as the first Christians, and no doubt some of them were. They call themselves the "living stones" of Biblical Christianity, preserving ancient communities and traditions in the midst of repeated armed conflicts. They deserve to keep their land and work for "peace on earth, goodwill toward men."

In this crisis they deserve the support of all Americans, not just Christians. And not just at Christmas.

Mr. Woodward is a contributing editor at Newsweek.

opinionjournal.com