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Pastimes : Hurricane and Severe Weather Tracking -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dennis Roth who wrote (6919)6/1/2007 6:34:24 AM
From: Dennis Roth  Respond to of 26020
 
TSR continues to predict an active Atlantic hurricane season.
tsr.mssl.ucl.ac.uk

TSR's pre-season hurricane prediction includes :

· A 84% probability of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season, a 13% probability of a near-normal season and only a 3% chance of a below-normal season

· 16 tropical storms for the Atlantic basin as a whole, with nine of these being hurricanes and four intense hurricanes

· A 84% probability of above-normal U.S. landfalling hurricane activity, a 14% likelihood of a nearnormal season and only a 2% chance of a below-normal season.

· Five tropical storm strikes on the U .S., of which two will be hurricanes

· Two tropical storm strikes on the Caribbean Lesser Antilles, of which one will be a hurricane