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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: daveinmarinca who wrote (18)5/9/2007 4:15:49 AM
From: Real Man  Respond to of 71407
 
Yes, I agree. That's the main reason why the CBs have been
accumulating dollars. At the same time, US Fed has been
raising rates to support the dollar, while monetarizing
(printing dollars) at the same time. In modern times all
markets are moving because of much larger derivative markets,
and interest rates derivatives could care less about printing;
it is an irrelevant variable. Gold still cares, or so it seems.
There is nothing the Fed can do to support the dollar if
there is a currency crisis. The only reserves we have
is gold in Fort Knox. Some speculate that all that gold is
gone already (has been lent out to banks at 1% interest rates
to suppress gold price). They can't do this forever. As
they raise, their interest goes up as well, making the
current account deficit worse, not better. Kind of like
spending on a credit card making minimum payments in
a rising interest rates environment. The only difference is
you can print your minimum payment.



To: daveinmarinca who wrote (18)5/9/2007 5:14:36 AM
From: Real Man  Respond to of 71407
 
Thanks, and Yes, the World central banks have been moving
heaven and earth to arrest the free fall, and try to devalue
the dollar gradually. Unfortunately, a significant 30% +
haircut for the dollar so far has failed to reverse the US
current account deficit. The interest payments to foreign
countries are also on the rise. Asian currencies failed to
appreciate significantly against the dollar.