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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TimbaBear who wrote (81598)	5/8/2007 7:12:53 PM
From: bart13	Respond to of 110194

That BLS link you were kind enough to provide has a chart of personal consumption. That chart looks to me to have been in a strong uptrend from 2002 into late 2005. Then it broke down through the trendline pretty sharply. It looks like lower highs from that breakdown. It also looks as though if the rate of personal consumption gets to a negative percentage, that would be a harbinger of a trend that could last quite a while since the lowest it ever got was touching the zero growth line in 1960. Indeed possible, but I doubt that the printing presses would not be running 24/7 if that happened and got any press. I wish I had the time to make a CPI and CPI+lies corrected chart from that data. It seems to me that we'd be below zero right now and perhaps even at a record low. It's around 5.5% now, the CPI is about 3%, Clinton era CPI is about 5.6% and John Williams corrected CPI is about 10%...