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Politics : Israel to U.S. : Now Deal with Syria and Iran -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: philv who wrote (15085)5/10/2007 5:10:14 AM
From: GUSTAVE JAEGER  Respond to of 22250
 
Re: ...yet when I look at the number, 57%, against 43%, I would not describe that as "handsomely".

Well, it is "handsomely" when compared to previous scores by French presidents under the Fifth Republic regime that started with Gen. de Gaulle in 1958... The exception being the freak 80% achieved by Jacques Chirac in 2002 against populist runner-up J.-M. Le Pen:

lepoint.fr

Re: It seems to me there is a very large opposition, and as you know, the electorate is rightfully fickle, and can change their minds very very quickly.

The electorate, however, is unlikely to change its mind over "security" --keep in mind that President-elect Sarkozy spent most of the past five years as France's SuperCop #1 (as Interior Minister). The French were a bit traumatized by the nationwide riots of Oct/Nov 2005...(*) Curfews were enforced in several cities! And the 2005 social unrest came on top of four years of anti-Muslim, anti-Arab propaganda spun by both US and European media.... There are probably a few hundred or thousand Frenchmen who, like me, never bought the official crap about 9/11, Bin Laden, al-qaeda, etc. YET the overwhelming majority DOES believe that every bomb, every terrorist carnage that breaks out anywhere in the world is yet another Islamic scheme, courtesy of US and Israeli Judeofascists and their media mouthpieces... Put it all together and it doesn't take a French political scientist to figure out how the French eagerly voted for a rightwing populist like Sarkozy. Now, I believe that other factors were crucial in clearing the way for Mr Sarkozy... After all, the latter was not the ONLY rightwing candidate talking about restoring law and order, checking immigration, etc.

(*) Message 21882206
Message 21872366

I believe that Sarkozy ended up the unchallenged candidate of the UMP party because France's bankrollers wanted it so! That's why each and every one of Sarkozy's challengers were, one after another, eliminated: Alain Juppé got embroiled in a lawsuit about "fictitious jobs" in Paris' public services; current PM D. de Villepin got blackmailed in the Clearstream affair; etc. Money talks louder than politics --clue:

France's 1Q Budget Deficit Widens To EUR24.7B Vs EUR6.7B '06
Wed, May 9 2007, 07:16 GMT

djnewswires.com

France's 1Q Budget Deficit Widens To EUR24.7B Vs EUR6.7B '06

PARIS (Dow Jones)
--France's budget deficit almost quadrupled in the first quarter of 2007 compared with a year earlier, as expenses rose, tax revenue fell, and there were no exceptional items.

The deficit widened to EUR24.7 billion from EUR6.7 billion in the first quarter of 2006, the Finance Ministry said Wednesday.

Last year, France's public accounts had benefitted from the privatization of state-owned motorways Autoroute Paris-Rhin-Rhone and Sanef.

"Comparisons with last year are not very significant at this stage," the ministry said. "The worsening of the budget should be progressively minimized."

Compared with the same period last year, expenses rose 9% to EUR61.7 billion from EUR56.7 billion. Revenue, excluding exceptional items, fell 6.9% to EUR48.8 billion.

The general budget balance, or the difference between revenue and expenses, showed a deficit of EUR12.9 billion in the first quarter of this year, compared with a deficit of EUR4.2 bln in the same period of 2006.

Corporate tax fell 4.7%, while revenue from income tax dropped 1.8%.

-By Gabriele parussini, Dow Jones Newswires; 33-1-4017 1740; gabriele.parussini@dowjones.com.

fxstreet.com

PRIMARY DEALERS

Primary dealers missions


SVTs are the market counterparties of choice for the Agency France Trésor and the Caisse de la dette publique. Their role is to advise and assist the AFT on matters related to issuance policy and debt management, as well as on questions of a more general nature pertaining to workings of the market.

The composition of the SVTs has evolved over time. From 13 in February of 1987, their number has gradually swelled to adequately represent the diversity of the institutions active in the French government bond market. SVTs include large banking networks and capital market specialists, as well as organizations based in France and abroad. On January 1st, 2007, 4 French institutions and 16 non-resident institutions counted among the SVTs. The latter included seven US-based organizations, three British, two German, two Swisses, one Dutch and one Japanese. They rank among the biggest players in the global bond markets. The makeup of the SVTs reflects the diversity of the French government debt market and the lasting appeal of the “label” that guarantees the quality of the SVTs.

Primary dealers (SVT) are subject to certain obligations, which include participating in auctions, placing treasury securities and maintaining a liquid secondary market. The Agency France Trésor maintains the relationships with them required in the furtherance of their stated missions. The SVTs agree to comply with the specifications drawn up annually since 1986. These specifications were the subject of intense discussions with the SVTs, which led to the development of a new charter of the relationship with the Agency France Trésor (available in summarized form on the AFT web site). This charter seeks to fully reflect the implications of the establishment of the Agency and changes in bond market trading activities.

Under the terms of the new charter, effective since the summer of 2006, French primary dealers are obliged to:

· help ensure that the auction process runs smoothly. Specifically, their role is to estimate overall market demand before each transaction, generally issue by issue, and communicate their evaluations to the AFT at meetings called by the latter prior to the principal auctions. They are required to participate in all auctions, and to account for, at least, and on average over any 12-month period, 2% of the total volumes auctioned.
· maintain a perfectly liquid secondary market in government securities. They agree to account for a significant (2% appears to be a reasonable minimum) percentage of the secondary and gray market transactions in these securities, and to ensure relatively homogenous coverage for all products issued by the AFT, as well as the repo market.
For each segment of the market, they agree to permanently display the bid and offer prices on the main issues. They develop the liquidity of these issues on the various electronic trading systems.
· keep the AFT regularly informed of market developments and their own transaction volumes.

Updated on 31 Jan 07

aft.gouv.fr

Footnote:
Message 23490587



To: philv who wrote (15085)5/12/2007 5:42:00 AM
From: GUSTAVE JAEGER  Respond to of 22250
 
Follow-up... Is Sarkozy France's best hope against predatory hedge funds? The French establishment bets on Sarko's pro-US, pro-Israel leanings to alleviate corporate France's inexorable demotion to "Wall Street subsidiary" status....

Frenzy for takeover deals takes hold in Europe
By Mark Landler Published: April 26, 2007

FRANKFURT
Most years, the United States handily beats Europe for bragging rights in deal making, based on the total value of mergers and acquisitions.

But this year, Europe is pulling ahead. The current takeover battle in banking, the biggest in the industry's history, is just the latest sign of the growing deal frenzy on the Continent.

That frenzy is prompting changes in corporate behavior. European companies are scrambling to put themselves in play, or fend off unwanted approaches, much like American companies did in the 1980s.

Europe's deal mania reflects a number of trends: more active shareholders, particularly hedge funds; an influx of private equity money; low interest rates; and a wealth of European companies with valuable assets that are ripe for the picking, in some cases because they have been poorly managed.

"Shareholder activism and hedge funds are acting as a trigger to doing more restructuring kinds of deals," said Alexander Dibelius, head of Goldman Sachs in Germany. "In combination with private equity and cheap money, this adds to the perceived increase in deal making."

It is more than just perception. So far this year, the value of mergers and acquisitions announced in Europe is $656.4 billion, compared with $601.4 billion in the United States, according to Thomson Financial (Europe also led in 1990, 1991 and 2002).

Europe's new economic buoyancy is also providing a tailwind to deal makers here.

Growth rates in Europe are approaching those in the United States, and Europe may outperform the United States this year if the American economy slows.

Germany, in particular, is booming, with soaring investor confidence and heavy capital spending. Companies are reporting record profits, as they reap the benefits of years of painful overhauls.

Having retrenched thoroughly, European companies are emerging with leaner cost structures and greater ambitions. The German energy giant, Eon, for example, made a €42 billion, or $57 billion, bid for its Spanish counterpart, Endesa - a deal that eventually collapsed because of resistance from the Spanish.

That deal underscores a hurdle to deals in Europe, particularly cross-border ones: Protectionism is alive and well. Political leaders in France, Italy and Spain speak unabashedly about keeping national assets from foreign buyers. Nicolas Sarkozy, the conservative front-runner for the French presidency, promises to maintain France's tradition of defending "national champions" in crucial industries.

In Germany, the former head of the Social Democratic Party, Franz Müntefering, scored points during the last election by referring to foreign hedge funds and private equity investors as heuschrecken, or locusts, intent on plundering German assets and mistreating workers.

While European executives are generally more open to cross-border deals than politicians, some play the nationalist card when it suits them, to ward off unwanted suitors.

Porsche, the German sports car maker, has amassed a stake in Volkswagen of over 30 percent, justifying its action by saying that it is trying to fend off a potential takeover by foreign private-equity investors.

Fears of hostile approaches by financial investors have helped fuel the efforts of DaimlerChrysler to unload its money-losing Chrysler division, according to executives at the company.

They may have even played a role in the abrupt ouster Wednesday of the chief executive of Siemens, the engineering giant, which has been hit by a corruption scandal.

People with ties to Siemens said that members of its board were worried that if Siemens did not get past the scandal, the company would be vulnerable to a takeover bid by a private equity firm.

There is ample evidence that hedge funds and other foreign investors are shaking Europe out of it old habits.

ABN AMRO's negotiations with Barclays were started in part by pressure from the Children's Investment Fund, a London-based hedge fund, which owns less than 3 percent of ABN AMRO.

Three years ago, bankers here said, it would have been inconceivable for a hedge fund to force one of Europe's largest banks to, in effect, put itself in play.

But in 2005, the Children's Investment Fund waged a fax and e-mail campaign against the management of Deutsche Börse, the German stock exchange, which was seeking to take over the London Stock Exchange.

Not only did Deutsche Börse end up having to abandon the bid, but the company's chief executive and its chairman were forced to resign.

The European Central Bank has done its part to keep business humming. While the bank began tightening credit at the end of 2005, its key rate of 4 percent is still below that of the U.S. Federal Reserve. Most economists expect that the bank will move cautiously in raising rates further.

iht.com

Corporate Board Member Europe Winter 2005
Feature Story


A Former U.S. Marine Hits Europe’s Corporate Boardrooms
by Julie Connelly


Shareholder activist Guy Wyser-Pratte is shaking up businesses around the Continent—and says he’s got more targets in his sights.

[...]

What is different about the environment in Europe, compared with what you’re used to in the U.S.?

In the U.S. it’s not so much the establishment, the way it is when you go into France and Germany. In France you have a huge political problem to overcome, because first of all the French don’t like to be told by anybody, particularly an outsider, what to do.

And even though I have dual French and American citizenship, they speak of me as “Here comes the American Marine.”

You have a clique in France, an old-boy network, the old families aligned with the bureaucracy. This clique has a sort of vested interest in preventing the entrepreneurial class from climbing in society. I would like to show the entrepreneurs the way to force change through the financial markets. I have a political agenda as well, which is that they should really be embellishing the private sector.

In Germany it’s a little different. It’s what they call Deutschland AG—Germany Inc. And that’s the political class, which you could say is the Socialist Party [the Social Democratic Party], the party in power now. They control everything. If somebody wants to get something done in Germany and the wrong party is in power, forget it.
[...]
boardmembereurope.com

One French icon goes to the Americans
By John Tagliabue The New York Times

SATURDAY, JULY 23, 2005

iht.com