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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (65475)5/11/2007 11:26:31 AM
From: westpacific  Respond to of 116555
 
Mish - seems your hyperinflationary depression call from last year is coming to fruition.

Seems right on, no matter how negative the news we continue higher.

Keep us updated.

Right now I am watching around 14100 +/- 560 or so points. Should mark a major cycle top, we shall see, also watch January 2008 will mark the 397 month top, July 2008 403 month.

Could this all just be a final blow off top.......

We had bull market finished Sept 1929 which was a 397 month cycle and Febuary 1966 which was a 403 month.

Then we see what happens. Could see a final top there, lets hope these clowns do not take us into a Weimer state.

Gonna get mighty interesting in the year ahead.

Bradley Turn Dates for 2007:
5/04
6/14
8/26
10/17
12/22

West



To: mishedlo who wrote (65475)5/11/2007 7:04:40 PM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116555
 
It's been so easy to fade this -- every time we've had a pullback. Today we had the China trade surplus that caused an orgy of buying in this:

finance.yahoo.com

Let me tell you what I think. This month's fall won't be remembered for the fall in retail sales that we see in the next month. You heard it from the peanut gallery!!

>>With any sustained pullback in consumer spending, the massive overcapacity in retail stores will become rudely apparent. Perhaps this is finally it or perhaps not but eventually those stores that were busy hiring because of expansion are going to have to start laying people off. All the pieces are in place for one heck of a nasty consumer led recession. Unfortunately few are prepared for it.
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