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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mike Johnston who wrote (82017)5/22/2007 1:01:26 PM
From: Broken_Clock  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
how do you leave when you're in debt? we'll see credit checks required prior to getting an exit visa. just another nail in the coffin.



To: Mike Johnston who wrote (82017)5/22/2007 3:48:47 PM
From: westpacific  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
To me, current environment is either
1. blow off stage of the greatest bubble in history or
2. early stages of hyperinflation.

This nails it down to perfection.

Which is it?

The Blow off stage could take us into 2008......

2008 marks too incredible cycle tops,
January will be 397 months
July will be the 403 months

In history these have marked every major massive top.

Impossible to call a top when markets are breaking into all time highs, how high can we go?

Right now the model projects 14100 plus or minus 561 points.

This is within projections for a Kitchin Cycle top.....

Also we are still within McAvitys Bubble Prediction which states we will not see COMPQ above 2200 plus or minus 10% until at least 2015 or into 2025 - this still is in play.

Right now it is only a blow off top.

If we take out 14661 its hyperinflation. And I really do not think they are stupid enough to repeat Wiemer!

West



To: Mike Johnston who wrote (82017)5/22/2007 10:08:27 PM
From: John Vosilla  Respond to of 110194
 
'If there is hyperinflation, the Pig Men will walk away owning 90% of the country'

How can it be hyperinflation with long term rates still very low? Obviously they consider it a no lose situation to lock in debt as such favorable low rates with more favorable IRR on equity in restructured balance sheets no matter what happens going forward.. Either continued goldilocks or true hyperinflation and they win big.. Even muddle along in a limping economy for a while looks good. Only in Depression or deflation would they lose bigtime.