To: TobagoJack who wrote (18807 ) 5/26/2007 1:35:00 PM From: elmatador Respond to of 218659 Sugar Price Drop May Discourage Brazil Investments, Unica Says By Carlos Caminada May 25 (Bloomberg) -- Brazilian sugar and ethanol makers will probably scale back investments in new mills in coming years as lower prices discourage spending, an industry leader said. Sugar, the worst-performing commodity in the past 12 months, will likely stay around 9 cents a pound this year, said Fernando Moreira Ribeiro, executive director of Brazil's Center- South Sugar and Ethanol Industry Association, known as Unica. ``At this price, the picture is not so rosy,'' Ribeiro in an interview. ``Many will reconsider the pace of investments.'' Sugar futures for July delivery rose 0.36 cent, or 4 percent, to 9.29 cents per pound at 9:40 a.m. on the New York Board of Trade. The price is down 43 percent from a year ago. About 80 projects for new mills are planned over the next three years in Brazil, the world's biggest maker and exporter of sugar and cane-based ethanol, Ribeiro said. Investors may hold off on that spending should the price of sugar hover around 9 cents, he said. Sugar cane output in Brazil's center-south, which accounts for more than 80 percent of the country's crop, will climb to a record in the current harvest after rising demand for sweetener and ethanol encouraged planting. The region will harvest 420 million metric tons of the plant in the current May-to-November season, compared with 373 million tons a year earlier, Antonio de Padua, Unica's technical director, said on April 24. Mills in the center-south of Brazil will turn the current cane harvest into 27.5 million tons of the sweetener and 18.6 billion liters (5 billion gallons) of ethanol, Padua said. To contact the reporter on this story: Carlos Caminada in Sao Paulo at at ccaminada1@bloomberg.net