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Politics : Rat's Nest - Chronicles of Collapse -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Metacomet who wrote (5951)6/4/2007 7:05:04 PM
From: Wharf Rat  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 24206
 
They are down there somewhere. I'm not sure of the exact location. They better get out of the way...

Typhoon "Louise" The 9 October 1945 Storm at Okinawa.
ussyms425.com

Did find this at TOD, with a nice map

Great point about storm surges. Let's take a look at the bathymetry of the strait.

www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/middle_east_and_asia/iran_strait_of_hormuz_2004....

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penguinzee on June 4, 2007 - 12:29pm | Permalink | Subthread
Nice depth map, Rex.

One thing to look at is the depth of the water itself. Cyclones need about 200' (60 meters) of water at 80°F (27°C) to sustain itself. Looking at that map, you could say the storm will start to weaken by the time it reaches the northern end of the Gulf of Oman (you could draw a line from Al Fujayrah across to Jask-this is likely where that will happen). Before that, you also have to consider the mountains in Northern Oman-besides disrupting storms, mountains can also be a source of water flooding-if this is a heavy rain event, you will see whole towns (not to mention any oil facilities) wiped out in a flash.

Franc (penguinzee)

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NervousRex on June 4, 2007 - 12:37pm | Permalink | Subthread
Good points about strength.

It seems to me that the storm surge is the story to watch, along with any ships that get stuck in the strait.

A side effect of this is that there are two carrier groups essentially trapped in the gulf. No immediate issue but you can imagine a sequence of events which renders this situation even more undesirable.

theoildrum.com