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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Metacomet who wrote (19616)6/15/2007 6:53:27 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217545
 
We don't need to "buttress that infrastructure". Oil and coal and stuff are not really needed much at all.

I turn on heaters, fly on 747s, drive a 3 litre car weighing 1.5 tons. I don't need to do any of that. If they go away tomorrow, it won't be such a bad thing.

People could stop wasting time sitting for hours 10km high doing nothing, or sitting in traffic jams with air-conditioners running. They can wear clothes to be warm. Clothes were invented by Eskimoes when they were the first undocumented Americans invading the American continent. It was cold up there at the edge of the ice age.

People could instead do something sensible, such as I'm doing = sitting comfy on a couch, sun streaming in the window for warmth [chilly winter day], ranting in cyberspace and watching the golf, car racing or news. 3D cyberspace tourism is easier than being there [getting past all those government spivs blocking passage through airports].

I read his silly Olduvai Theory and he misses the central point which matters. His idea is that we go from cave man to cave man. He doesn't understand that humans are not in stasis. Evolution is proceeding apace and the primary reason for people doing so much better than way back then is that humans are much much smarter than 10,000 years ago and we now have the vast synergy of billions of us.

He mistakenly thinks of the Gaia idea that Earth is in "balance" with a "normal" state. It is not and neither are humans. We are on a one way trip, in a vast, real-time, no dress-rehearsal, experiment and we are playing for keeps.

Yes, things might get worse, just as stock markets go up, and down. There's no law of nature that says things have to go right and they will certainly go wrong. But each person wants their life better, not worse, so they will on average get things better than worse. Which will, necessarily, make other's lives better too. That is a law of nature.

The things that make things bad are exterminated, and quite mercilessly in the case of people who lack the wit to keep their car on a road. Companies doing a bad job are eliminated. Bad ideas fizzle out.

Bad things can only exist AFTER good things are created. Parasites can only feed AFTER the productive have done something. Overall, the parasites are just some human entropy which is part of the process, to be kept minimal.

Even monster MADness such as WWI and WWII didn't really slow the acceleration into the 20th century. Yes, it makes a dent in progress, but not much.

The Olduvai Theory is just more of the age-old doomster thinking based on the 1970s idea that energy is what it's all about. The universe is made of energy and there is no shortage at all of it. Even the price can't go up any more because the price is already so high that alternatives to existing suppliers are being developed flat out everywhere.

Mqurice



To: Metacomet who wrote (19616)7/10/2007 2:42:50 PM
From: Lazarus_Long  Respond to of 217545
 
Quite possibly the silliest crap I've ever read. And that's saying something considering I'm on SI.

The dates, events, and constants are chosen to get the answers the "author" wants. 37%? That's 1/e. So what? When have civilizations and mankind ever conformed to neat mathematical theories?

Maurice did a rather nice job on this too.