To: Road Walker who wrote (340987 ) 6/21/2007 1:24:38 PM From: tejek Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1571702 U.K. predicts quiet U.S. hurricane season MIAMI (AP) — British weather forecasters, making their first public prediction of an Atlantic hurricane season, say this year's may be quieter than their American counterparts expect. It is most likely that 10 tropical storms will form from July to November, the British government forecasters said this week. An expected cooling trend in Atlantic Ocean surface waters favors fewer tropical storms than in recent years, they said. There is a 70% chance that the number of tropical storms will be in the range of seven to 13, the meteorologists said. In May, U.S. government forecasters predicted 13 to 17 tropical storms in the season that runs from June 1 to Nov. 30. Colorado State University researcher William Gray predicted 17 named storms. The Atlantic season has already had two named storms, Andrea and Barry. The U.K.'s Met Office, a weather tracking agency within the British Ministry of Defense, has been using computer models for years to make forecasts for individual hurricanes, and the U.S. National Hurricane Center uses the office's data. This is the first time the office has publicly released predictions for a whole season. Matt Huddleston at the Met Office said its numbers are based on a "brand new forecasting system" using a global climate model. The Met Office ran but did not make public its model in the 2005 and 2006 seasons. It correctly predicted the change from the active 2005 season to the below-normal 2006 season, the office said. The British scientists did not predict a number of hurricanes that would form or how many would become strong, as American forecasters do. Copyright 2007 The Associated Press. usatoday.com