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To: ms.smartest.person who wrote (2711)7/7/2007 11:39:04 AM
From: kidl  Respond to of 3198
 
Pescod July 6, 2007
Merry: Not as "pretty as your posts but here it is ...

S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX: 14,119.65 +40.24
There’s an awful lot of analysts and word meisters out there
with a lot to say, but we figure that there's two that are absolutely
must-reading. One is Don Coxe author of “Basic Points” and has
been in the forefront predicting the commodity boom market. He
was one of the first expecting this cycle.
Another character who is absolutely must-reading and courageous
as well is Jeffrey Rubin who is the chief economist and
strategist at CIBC. He earned our respect almost two decades ago
when he suggested that interests rates were going up and because
of that so will mortgage rates, and that house prices in Toronto will
drop by 25%. Needless to say, that’s not the kind of thing people
want to hear and he was pillared in the press. He was also right.
Anyone who says that kind of stuff earns your respect.
So it’s interesting to see him being featured in the Globe and
Mail on July 5th, suggesting the stock market rally will resume in
earnest in the second half of this year, fueled by continued
strength in the global energy and commodity sectors. Interesting
to know that according to the article, Ruben has boosted his 2007
target on the S&P/TSX Composite in next year to 15,000 points
from 14,250 and they are keeping the energy sector at a rate of
31.4% higher than the benchmark index.
One interesting comment he makes is, regarding the high prices
of oil “this is going to be a catalyst for mergers and acquisition
activity in Canada’s energy patch particularly amongst those company’s
with extensive oil sands exposure” Mr. Rubin said.

GOLDQUEST MINING (V-GQC) $1.19 -0.07
So far, Eric Coffin of the Hard Rock Analyst has been
right...at least so far. We are talking about the usual correction
we have in the Venture Exchange this time of year, that so far,
has only been an itty-bit of a correction. Sure, volumes has
almost disappeared, but the index hasn’t done too badly at all
and Coffin suggests that one of the reasons is because there
has been so much money thrown at the exploration game that
you’re afraid to leave your screen in case somebody out there,
finds something exciting tomorrow. There’s been a lot of that in
the last couple of weeks.
As far as stories he feels has to be watched...high on his list
is Goldquest Mining, the junior that the Hard Rock had featured
back at $0.28. The problem there is that their 140 metre intercept
is probably not a true width, but Coffin suggests if they
could get 20 or 30 metres of the stuff, that still could be a very
significant discovery.
Also on his much-watch list is Serengeti Resources (SIR),
which is facing some of the same problems of other explorers
these days, waiting for results from labs. “They should have
results on three or four holes next week” he suggests and
points to an analyst tour next week that will obviously want to
be looking at some of the core.
Goldcrest Resources (GCL), with their recent discovery in
Burkina Faso with more results expected, should be watched.

As far as stocks a person might be looking to nibble at, Selkirk Metals (SLK) and their ongoing development work
at Ruddock Creek would be on the list as would Everton Resources (EVR) which he notes has been beaten up because
of bad results on one of their lesser projects in Quebec. Everton is also working in the Dominican Republic on
what could be an interesting project. And also in the Dominican Republic is Globestar Mining (GMI), currently building
a copper mine and he suggests when Globestar comes up with some reserve numbers on its nickel project, it
could give that story a boost as well.
Also on the watch list he suggests is MBMI Resources (MBR), another nickel story that has retreated with the drop
in nickel prices, but to still, incredibly healthy levels.

BLUE NOTE MINING (V-BN) $0.61 +0.08
First the bad news...fully diluted, “Blue Note Mining currently
has about 325 million shares outstanding”, Vice
President Lorne Woods tells us and he suggests that
“sometime next week the company will have news out
about their current state of production. For many market
watchers though, the important date is probably coming in
mid-September when they hope to be up to 3000 tons a day
production and we’ll know then just what kind of a recovery
rate they are getting and how their metallurgy is running.
While this company may have a lot of stock outstanding,
they also have something that most explorers only dream
of way in the future...they are in the state of going into production.
The question remains, how much of that ore they
are going to recover?
A former producer for a division of Breakwater called
Canzinco, they were a producer back in 1998 Woods tells
us, when base metal prices were a fraction of today’s.
While they were only able to recover roughly 60% for much
of their production history at that time, he suggests nearing
the close down, they got it up to the 70% and near 80% recovery.
With Blue Note, they’ve added three ISO mills that
should/could increase that recovery rate significantly and
of course, that would be very important.
As far as what the analysts think, well there’s only one,
Rick Visagie of Octagon Capital currently covering Blue
Note and he has a $1.00 target. Woods tells us that he has
four analysts visiting Bathurst and seeing the base metal
project firsthand around July 16th, so then he expects/
hopes to have more analysts with an opinion and given
what lead/zinc prices have been doing lately…(heading to
the heavens) if the metallurgy is anywhere near hoped for,
there are expectations for Blue Note’s stock.

Disclosure: Globestar Mining and Serengeti Resources: Canaccord Capital covers these stocks and has a Speculative Buy rating on
them. (Speculative buy: Stocks bear significantly higher risk that typically cannot be valued by normal fundamental criteria. Investments in the
stock may result in material loss.) Canaccord has recently participated in a financing for Globestar Mining.
DEB’S DITTY:
I’m grateful that I’m not as judgmental
as all those self-righteous people around me.
If you would like to receive the Late Edition, email Debbie at debbie_lewis@canaccord.com