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Politics : THE WHITE HOUSE -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jim S who wrote (6083)	7/9/2007 10:39:16 AM
From: DuckTapeSunroof	Respond to of 25737

Re: [Guess perhaps Thompson is too busy on the hustings for contributions...] "I hadn't thought of that. Wouldn't it be remarkable if the largest money-grubber didn't get the Repub nomination? In the past Presidential races I recall, both parties seem to nominate the candidates with the largest war chests." I think they are calling the campaign contribution solicitation season this year the 'First Primary'... with a lot of people believing that it will be fairly determinative of just who the nominees will wind up being. Thompson probably wants to have a very splashy announcement AND be able to simultaneously show a huge surge in contributions to his campaign (thus showing that he not only as the poll numbers, but the CASH numbers, too, to be a leading contender....) Political reporters have been predicting all year that only the guys who had raised in the neighborhood of eighty, ninety, or one hundred million dollars by late fall of this year (an amazing number, when you stop to think about it!) would be left standing as the 'serious' contenders. Re: "But, it's a long time till the conventions..." True. but that likely doesn't matter as much as usual this time round --- the Parties are likely to have found their presumptive nominees by late March, or even late February this time --- because so many States have advanced their primaries. (Unless, of course, they are HOPELESSLY deadlocked still... which is possible, I guess, if you believe that on the GOP side Thompson/Guiliani/Romney might remain tightly bunched-up in an undecided death struggle... and or the same thing with Clinton/Obama/Edwards on the Dem side.) Guess it's possible... if they all stay strong in fund-raising, and each win a few state's delegates... but not enough to anyone to put them over the top. THEN, it would be WAY COOL convention fights, maybe going to multiple ballots, in a throw-back to conventions of yesteryears!