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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: foundation who wrote (20284)7/20/2007 12:28:59 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 218700
 
Need to invest in Iranian oil fields. economist.com



To: foundation who wrote (20284)7/20/2007 3:39:18 AM
From: Wharf Rat  Respond to of 218700
 
A comment by the author in the comment section...

ace on July 19, 2007 - 9:30pm | Permalink | Subthread
On Russian forecast production, I'm more optimistic.

As at June 2007, I am assuming remaining URR C&C of 91 Gb. (URR is proven plus probable plus yet to find.) Given Russia's new projects, the annual depletion rate of remaining URR is forecast to be below 4%/yr.

Russia's C&C production for Apr 07 was 9.37 mbd (EIA). My forecast is Apr 08, 8.91 mbd; Apr 09, 8.78 mbd; Apr 10, 8.47 mbd.

If Russia shows a decline rate of 10% pa then the decline in Fig 2 becomes even steeper.

theoildrum.com



To: foundation who wrote (20284)7/20/2007 3:40:06 PM
From: Moominoid  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218700
 
What does demand mean here? What demand would be if prices didn't rise? Because in the end the market must clear.