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To: Secret_Agent_Man who wrote (338830)	7/23/2007 7:22:59 AM
From: Real Man	Respond to of 436258

Yep. I also know who is actually making the most dough in this market, those betting it's a RANDOM WALK around beta, which is currently positive -g-. These silly folks include JPM, GS, and other big WS firms. This assumes that the TA calls for traders are right exactly 50% of the time, so you can't have a perfect fade or a perfect trade -g- Bearish short-term traders will be wrong somewhat more than 50% of the time, cause of high beta, currently positive. They pocket options premium and commissions