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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sun Tzu who wrote (237574)7/23/2007 6:03:31 PM
From: Sam  Respond to of 281500
 
Also, the Shia relation with Iran is fragile. Last year for example the Iraqi Shia in Basra stormed the Iranian consulate and there have been several very tense situations along the same lines.

Well, actually, all the reporting I have read basically says that there is no one "shia relation with Iran." Iraqi Shiites don't speak with one voice, other than being, for the most part, anti-Sunni. That one of the factors that makes the situation so complicated. And at a basic level next to impossible to deal with.

And why the "surge" is doomed to fail unless the factions can each manage to accept each other, even if uneasily. I am skeptical that this can happen. Indeed, each of the three major "groups" in Iraq are factionalized and have bitter feelings toward each other. And plenty of money, weapons and soldiers to aim at the others.

It was a fool's errand to dismantle Saddam by force.