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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: E_K_S who wrote (27539)8/1/2007 11:59:33 AM
From: Paul Senior  Respond to of 78717
 
I'm adding to PFN now:

finance.yahoo.com



To: E_K_S who wrote (27539)8/1/2007 12:02:18 PM
From: Paul Senior  Respond to of 78717
 
I'm adding to PSEC now:

finance.yahoo.com



To: E_K_S who wrote (27539)8/1/2007 3:12:54 PM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78717
 
Adding to HTGC now, fwiw.

finance.yahoo.com



To: E_K_S who wrote (27539)8/1/2007 3:31:11 PM
From: Paul Senior  Respond to of 78717
 
Adding now to TICC, fwiw.

finance.yahoo.com



To: E_K_S who wrote (27539)8/1/2007 5:10:17 PM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 78717
 
I've taken just a very few shares of Freddie Mac (FRE) today.

I'll go on this thesis: The mortgage market is going to get tougher for borrowers because many non-bank lenders of sub-prime/alt A are going out-of-business or already are. The bank lenders are now more cautious. That suggests there will more demand for FRE as an insurance backup. While FRE does have sub-prime loans, I'm under the impression their lending standards have been more strict than the anybody-qualifies/no checking- income loans made by those firms that are now in trouble.

I suspect there's not much risk of FRE going bk or defaulting. The business and stock have fluctuated over the years. I'm expecting FRE business will improve as it steps into the void left by the departing companies, and that the stock, now about $56, will again hit $65-70 in the next twelve months. (The stock has touched $65 or greater at some point in each of the past nine years.) There's a 3.5% dividend yield now, and the dividend seems to get raised every year.

All jmo. I have been wrong many, many times -- especially in the last few weeks as my stocks have fallen. So, just a few share buy for me now. I'll add more if/as stock drops on no adverse news.

finance.yahoo.com