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Politics : Liberalism: Do You Agree We've Had Enough of It? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Brumar89 who wrote (12598)8/2/2007 10:19:06 PM
From: Ann Corrigan  Respond to of 224729
 
Rasmussen says it's neck&neck:

>Election 2008: Clinton Virtually Tied with GOP Frontrunners Giuliani, Thompson

August 02, 2007

Senator Hillary Clinton is pulling away from the field in the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination but remains weaker than other major Democratic contenders in match-ups with top Republicans.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone shows former Big Apple Mayor Rudy Giuliani with a statistically insignificant one-point lead over the former First Lady, 46% to 45%. Former U.S. Senator Fred Thompson posts exactly the same numbers when matched against Clinton. It’s Thompson 46% Clinton 45%.

In June, Clinton was a point ahead of Giuliani and even with Thompson.

These data reflect the stability and strength of opinions both good and bad about Clinton. She is very popular with Democrats, but burdened by a high unfavorable rating in more mixed company. She is now viewed favorably by 82% of Democrats, and Very Favorably by 43%.

But, when the question is asked of all voters, the former First Lady is viewed favorably by just 49% and unfavorably by 48%. That latter figure includes 34% with a Very Unfavorable opinion (nearly half of all voters say they will definitely vote against Clinton if she is on the ballot in 2008).

From an ideological perspective, Democrats see little difference between Clinton and Obama. But, 78% of Republicans see Clinton as politically liberal while only 55% say the same about Obama. Among those not affiliated with either major party, 49% see Clinton is liberal. Thirty-six percent (36%) of unaffiliateds see Obama as politically liberal.

Because she is so well-known, opinions about Clinton are less likely to shift dramatically during a campaign than opinions about any other candidate. Clinton’s popularity within her own party, and the lack of a clear ideological difference, makes it likely the Democrats will nominate her unless Barack Obama can show them a definitive reason to change their mind.

Things are much different in the Republican race where voters perceive a wide ideological gap is seen between Thompson and Giuliani. Thompson is generally seen as politically conservative while most Republicans see Giuliani as politically moderate.

But, both candidates are well liked within their own party. Seventy-two percent (72%) of Republicans view Giuliani favorably while 64% say the same about Thompson.

Thompson is not a well known as Giuliani. Overall, among all voters, he is viewed favorably by 43%, unfavorably by 35%. Just over a fifth of all voters don’t know enough to have an opinion one way or the other.

The two Republican leaders are thus neither as popular with their own party as Clinton, nor as unpopular with all voters.

Rasmussen Reports’ Election 2006 coverage has been praised for its accuracy and reliability. Michael Barone, Senior Writer for U.S. News & World Report and co-author of The Almanac of American Politics, mentions, “One clear lesson from the Republican victory of 2004 and the Democratic victory of 2006 is that the best place to look for polls that are spot on is RasmussenReports.com." And University of Virginia Professor Larry Sabato states, “In election campaigns, I’ve learned to look for the Rasmussen results. In my experience, they are right on the money. There is no question Rasmussen produces some of the most accurate and reliable polls in the country today.”

Rasmussen Reports was also the nation's most accurate polling firm during the 2004 Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.

During both Election 2004 and Election 2006, RasmussenReports.com was the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.<