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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jay who wrote (84592)8/10/2007 10:40:16 PM
From: Lizzie TudorRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
50% decline in SF..... my opinion is it is highly unlikely. Get Live2Sails opinion though.

I think this market is one of the strongest in the nation due to companies like Cisco finally hiring again and when I say starting to hire I mean *totally* opening the hiring spigot. All these years houses here rose, not as much as other areas but they rose on almost no job creation, and now it is the opposite. I am looking for a flat year next year with small rises at the high end in other words no real correction other than what we have seen since 2005 (which is about 10-20% off peak imho)



To: Jay who wrote (84592)8/10/2007 10:43:54 PM
From: John VosillaRead Replies (4) | Respond to of 306849
 
'50% decline in SF'

Parts of Sacramento are already down by that much. Obviously you are land constrained in SF and there wasn't the speculation and overbuilding. You probably do get a combination of a drop in prices and drop in purchasing power of your dollar equal to near your figure in the next 3-5 years.. A 50% nominal drop there across the board by itself highly unlikely and would signal a probable depression..


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