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To: Henry J Costanzo who wrote (147802)8/12/2007 12:55:47 AM
From: Shack  Respond to of 209892
 
he has never been a technical analyst

Excellent observation, and I concur. But the man did develop a valid trading concept. Ironically he does not know how to use it IMO.



To: Henry J Costanzo who wrote (147802)8/12/2007 6:30:11 AM
From: skinowski  Respond to of 209892
 
Mentioning Prechter always brings out differences and controversies. That is in itself interesting.

I have read many of his analyses, and they are always interesting and thought through and well reasoned. But for many years they were likely to mislead the reader. Why? My opinion is that he allowed himself to become biased by his super large counts.

Barnard Baruch was a recognized market genius - but if you read his biography carefully, after he made a lot of money on the 1929 decline (before the Crash - he covered too early) consequently he did not do too well. His fortune appears to have been on decline for the following several years.

Jesse Livermore in the "Reminiscences" describes a period when over a few years he couldn't do a thing right, and kept losing money.

So, these things can happen, R. Prechter is not the only one.