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To: AllansAlias who wrote (147874)8/13/2007 12:05:26 AM
From: Shack  Respond to of 209892
 
doesn't it directly relate to the timeframe we wish to be on the right side of?

You are correct. But I have to be on the right side of a multi-week trend because I play options. So while the overriding "theme" of my trades are the primary trend, and yes in that sense it is indeed more than academic, I simply can't get caught in a correction. June 2004 for instance I saw a C down emerging on the $XMI so I bailed on all calls and bought puts. The index dropped 8% and then I returned to my theme.

Let me ask you this:

Let's say we (very hypothetically) are going to correct 62% of the June 2006 wave on the NYA, then we are talking about down over the next several weeks then up again....should I be playing calls or puts?

As it stands right now I have no clue what we are correcting, but there are enough signs and charts indicating multi-year corrective up patterns are complete and this could get serious. I've changed themes...I'll worry about the Grand Count later even though I am working on it.



To: AllansAlias who wrote (147874)8/13/2007 6:50:52 PM
From: Shack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
To all wavers...Do you think this is a compelling clue? If the secular bear ain't back in this one what are the alternates? Damn this one is pretty:

The SCHW Weekly (apologies its a wee bit blurry on my screen):

i208.photobucket.com

Its sh*t like this that has me leaning towards a crushing C wave for a great deal of the market.



To: AllansAlias who wrote (147874)8/13/2007 7:41:59 PM
From: Shack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
Sorry guys, dicked around withe that pic and screwed it up. Here's the proper one:

i208.photobucket.com