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Strategies & Market Trends : Can you beat 50% per month? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Smiling Bob who wrote (11524)8/17/2007 4:56:09 AM
From: Smiling Bob  Respond to of 19256
 
That didn't take long
Next....
Message 23798533
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latimes.com

A rush to withdraw funds
Worried about the woes of home-loan giant Countrywide, bank customers line up. The firm says it's not fazed.
By E. Scott Reckard and Annette Haddad, Los Angeles Times Staff Writers
9:39 PM PDT, August 16, 2007

Anxious customers jammed the phone lines and website of Countrywide Bank and crowded its branch offices to pull out their savings because of concerns about the financial problems of the mortgage lender that owns the bank.

Countrywide Financial Corp., the biggest home-loan company in the nation, sought Thursday to assure depositors and the financial industry that both it and its bank were fiscally stable. And federal regulators said they weren't alarmed by the volume of withdrawals from the bank.

The mortgage lender said it would further tighten its loan standards and make fewer large mortgages. Those moves could make it harder to get a home loan and further depress the housing market in California and other states.

The rush to withdraw money -- by depositors that included a former Los Angeles Kings star hockey player and an executive of a rival home-loan company -- came a day after fears arose that Countrywide Financial could file for bankruptcy protection because of a worsening credit crunch stemming from the sub-prime mortgage meltdown.

The parent firm borrowed $11.5 billion Thursday by using up an existing line of credit from 40 banks, saying the money would help the lender meet its funding needs and continue to grow. But stock investors, apparently alarmed that the company felt compelled to use the credit line, sent Countrywide's already battered stock down an additional 11%.

At Countrywide Bank offices, in a scene not common since the U.S. savings-and-loan crisis ended in the early '90s, so many people showed up to take out some or all of their money that in some cases they had to leave their names.

In West Los Angeles, a Countrywide supervisor brought in from another office served coffee to more than 25 people waiting calmly for their turn with the one clerk who could help them.

Bill Ashmore drove his Porsche Cayenne to Countrywide's Laguna Niguel office and waited half an hour to cash out $500,000, which he then wired to an account at Bank of America.

"It's because of the fear of the bankruptcy," said Ashmore, president of Irvine's Impac Mortgage Holdings, which escaped bankruptcy itself recently by shutting down virtually all its lending and laying off hundreds of employees.

"It's got my wife totally freaked out," he said. "I just don't want to deal with it. I don't care about losing 90 days' interest, I don't care if it's FDIC-insured -- I just want it out."

Customers, most of whom said they were acting just in case, said they went to the lightly staffed branches because they couldn't get through to the bank via its toll-free number or its slow-moving website.

"I doubt it will go under, but I want to protect myself," said Rogie Vachon, who was the Kings' most valuable player for several years in the '70s. Vachon said he went to the West L.A. branch to withdraw some money because his account balance exceeded the limit on insurance provided by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.

In a statement, the bank said: "It is very important to remember that Countrywide Bank is well capitalized, with FDIC-insured deposits, and is one of the largest banks in the United States, with assets over $107 billion."

The bank added that it had significant access to outside capital and was still highly rated by debt-rating firms.

As for parent firm Countrywide Financial, the mortgage giant said draining its credit line would allow it to continue operations while refocusing its business on the "plain vanilla" mortgage loans that can be sold to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government-sponsored mortgage finance companies.

Countrywide said it planned to fund more mortgages through Countrywide Bank and have the bank invest in certain loans that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac won't buy, such as "jumbo" mortgages, which in California are defined as those over $417,000.

Countrywide recently was funding about $40 billion a month in mortgages. Of those, about half qualified to be sold to Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae, and half were "nonconforming" loans the agencies don't buy, including sub-prime mortgages to higher-risk borrowers as well as jumbo loans, which account for 43% of all mortgages issued in Southern California.

Company executives declined to discuss how the heavy withdrawals at Countrywide Bank branches Thursday might interfere with that strategy.

Mortgage industry executives, however, said that although Countrywide Bank was the nation's third-largest savings and loan, after Washington Mutual and Wachovia Bank's World Savings unit, it was far too small to absorb the entire $20 billion a month in nonconforming loans Countrywide Financial produced. As a result, the company is likely to make fewer loans while applying more stringent criteria in deciding who gets them -- a transition that could further pinch the strained housing market.

In recent months, sales of high-end houses have been stronger than those for cheaper homes. Now, with a pullback in larger loans by Countrywide and other major lenders, the weakness at the low end is likely to spread upward, said Esmael Adibi, director of Chapman University's Anderson Center for Economic Research.

"The implication will be declining home prices, higher foreclosures, a significant slowdown in spending by consumers," he said. As home sales fall further, "ultimately job growth will slowly deteriorate."

Those long-term concerns weren't the first thing on the minds of depositors withdrawing money Thursday.

At a branch near Countrywide's corporate headquarters in Calabasas on Thursday, a flood of spooked customers seeking to withdraw their certificates of deposit and money-market accounts overwhelmed the small staff.

The Countrywide employees were forced to resort to taking down names and asking people to wait it out or come back later.

"I'm at the age where I can't afford to take the risk," a 69-year-old retiree who asked not to be identified said after transferring money out of his money market account. "I'll gladly put it back as soon as I know the storm is over."

After reading news reports of Countrywide's troubles, Elsie Ahrens of Calabasas decided to close two of her CD accounts at Countrywide.

"It's not worth it," said Ahrens, 42. "I don't think it's going to go under, but you never know."

Ahrens, who runs a voice and data business, took her money and opened a new account at Bank of America, which she said felt more secure and offered a comparable interest rate.

In Laguna Niguel, Ashmore, the Impac Mortgage president, remarked on how the credit problems stemming from sub-prime loans had filtered down to a local bank branch.

"It started out with this global credit crunch we've been reading about," he said as another Countrywide depositor left the bank's office. "It's now gotten down to affecting people like him and me who are closing our accounts."

The other depositor shook his head as he climbed into his car.

"It's all over," he said, and drove away.



To: Smiling Bob who wrote (11524)9/17/2007 7:04:40 AM
From: Smiling Bob  Respond to of 19256
 
Only happens once every 78 years
This is the second since this post. More undoubtedly coming.
Message 23798533
And 1/2 pt Fed cut won't help; instead will hurt confidence.
--
Northern Rock Stock Tumbles Further Amid Run on Bank (Update2)

By Jon Menon and Ben Livesey
Enlarge Image/Details

Sept. 17 (Bloomberg) -- Northern Rock Plc, the U.K. mortgage lender bailed out by the Bank of England last week, tumbled to a seven-year low in London trading after customers lined up at branches across the country to withdraw their savings.

Shares of Newcastle-based Northern Rock fell 32 percent to 299.75 pence as of 10:45 a.m. in London, leaving the fourth- largest U.K. mortgage company with a market value of 1.26 billion pounds ($2.5 billion). Merrill Lynch & Co. halved its earnings estimate for 2007 and said future profit is ``little more than guesswork.'' Analysts said the bank may be split up or acquired.

Hundreds of clients ignored assurances from Chief Executive Officer Adam Applegarth and U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling that their deposits are secure after the biggest rescue by the central bank in 30 years. Savers removed at least 2 billion pounds ($4 billion), or about 8 percent of Northern Rock's total, since Sept. 14, the British Broadcasting Corp. reported without saying where it got the information.

``Until Northern Rock has either been broken up, in the form of its mortgage debt being taken on by another bank, or the company taken over as a whole, the negative effect will continue,'' said Howard Wheeldon, an analyst at BGC Partners, an inter-dealer brokerage in London.

Northern Rock required emergency financing because it relies on the capital markets rather than deposits for 73 percent of its funds. The collapse of subprime mortgages in the U.S. drove borrowing costs higher and traditional lenders curtailed loans to all but the safest borrowers.

Assurances Ignored

The stock, which fell 31 percent on Sept. 14, has slumped to one quarter of the record reached in February. The company had 24.4 billion pounds in retail deposits at the end of June, according to its Web site.

Bradford & Bingley Plc and Alliance & Leicester Plc, which also rely more on financial markets than customer deposits to fund mortgages, also extended losses in London trading. Bradford & Bingley dropped 11 percent, the most since 2000, to 329.75 pence and Alliance & Leicester sank 14 percent, the most in a decade, to 750.5 pence.

Northern Rock's demise and the increase in mortgage costs may bring an end to the decade-long property boom in the U.K. House prices have more than tripled over the past 10 years as consumers took on a record 1.3 trillion pounds of debt, helping the economy expand for 60 consecutive quarters.

`Sincere Apologies'

Shares of homebuilders fell for a second day today. Barratt Developments Plc dropped as much as 6.5 percent, Persimmon Plc lost 5.7 percent and Taylor Wimpey Plc fell 5.8 percent. House prices in London dropped the most in three years in September, a report from property Web site Rightmove Plc showed Sept. 14.

Northern Rock CEO Applegarth offered visitors to the bank's Web site yesterday his ``sincere apologies for any inconvenience,'' and said ``savings are secure and there is no need for you to withdraw your money.''

U.K. finance minister Darling held a series of broadcast interviews, telling listeners of BBC Radio 4's Today program this morning that their accounts are protected. ``There are difficulties with queues but they can get their money out,'' he said.

U.K. banking rules only safeguard 31,700 pounds for individual depositors, so allowing the company to go bankrupt risks destroying the savings of some of its customers.

The lender's 100 billion pounds of mortgages may be broken up between U.K. banks, the Sunday Telegraph said yesterday, citing unidentified people close to the company. New York-based Merrill is advising Northern Rock, and possible buyers include London-based HSBC Holdings Plc, Lloyds TSB Group Plc and Barclays Plc, as well as Edinburgh-based Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc and HBOS Plc, the paper said.

`Long Slog'

The decline in the shares prompted analysts at Credit Suisse Group and Merrill to say the bank may be bought. ``We think the game is over for Northern Rock in its present form,'' Merrill analyst John-Paul Crutchley wrote in a note to investors.

It would be a ``long slog'' for Northern Rock to remain independent, Applegarth said in the Sunday Telegraph. The bank's business isn't viable any longer because of its dependence on financial markets for funding, he said.

``If customers want money, they can have it,'' Applegarth told Sky News today. ``Getting it to them is the issue. It is a logistical exercise.''

Northern Rock credit-default swaps increased 15 basis points to 170 basis points, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. The cost of the credit-default swaps, which traded as high as 210 basis points on Friday, rises as creditworthiness deteriorates.

`Insolvency Crisis'

Bingley, England-based Bradford & Bingley, which makes one in five loans to U.K. landlords, gets 53 percent of its funding from the markets, a similar proportion to Alliance & Leicester, which is based in Leicester, England.

The companies said they have sufficient cash and haven't asked the Bank of England for emergency funds. ``It's business as usual,'' said Alliance & Leicester spokesman Stuart Dawkins.

Banks are paying more to borrow as the difference between the three-month U.K. London interbank offered rate and the Bank of England's benchmark rate has climbed to 1.13 percentage points, compared with 0.34 percentage points in the first half of the year, said Sandy Chen, a London-based analyst at Panmure Gordon & Co.

``The high costs of wholesale funding will continue,'' Chen said. ``We also assume that the liquidity crisis will deepen into an insolvency crisis.''

British mortgage lenders have fallen more than commercial lenders this year on the London Stock Exchange. Northern Rock dropped 63 percent, Bradford & Bingley fell 30 percent, and Alliance & Leicester declined 23 percent. The FTSE All-Share Bank Index is down 14 percent.

``This is a global squeeze, it is not Northern Rock specific,'' Applegarth told reporters last week. ``It must be difficult for other banks as well. I wouldn't be surprised if this happens to others.''

To contact the reporters on this story: Ben Livesey in London blivesey@bloomberg.net ; Jon Menon on jmenon1@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: September 17, 2007 06:00 ED