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To: James W. Riley who wrote (89541)8/17/2007 9:45:29 PM
From: ChanceIs  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206191
 
>>>monsters that did not curve to the north after getting into the gulf?<<<

Maybe we get the best of both worlds. From the latest summary below, a Cat 5 south of Cuba at 6:00 AM Monday (much less into Tuesday AM) will have all the requisite attributes to cause a panic and spike on Wall Street. No short will fail to cover by 10:00 AM Monday - because as you suggest - it might just hook north - if it hadn't done so already. If if fizzles after that as indicated, then the human loss will be minimized. You have to feel for Jamaica - certain Cat 5 visit on Sunday.




To: James W. Riley who wrote (89541)8/17/2007 10:13:22 PM
From: katytrader  Respond to of 206191
 
Have been through the watch and guess scenario too many times to keep it all straight. For unpredictability, check out the wanderings of Elena in 1985.

I left NOLA on Sunday before Katrina came in; 13 hour drive to Houston (370 miles). Decided to leave not because of the forecast but because of the fear in the newsreaders' eyes when they gave the updates.

katytrader



To: James W. Riley who wrote (89541)8/17/2007 11:13:22 PM
From: quehubo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206191
 
If the market thought this one had a reasonable chance of turning into production ng prices would have moved much higher.

As it is forecasted now and its high probability path, it will be a major bear on energy bringing cool weather and rain across the mid section of USA.