SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (87282)8/27/2007 4:07:24 PM
From: Travis_BickleRead Replies (3) | Respond to of 306849
 
I think prices will get reasonable again but imo there's no reason to buy anything but ocean front or intracoastal waterway front. The nonsense about having a view of the water doesn't fly, if you build an eight story building in the middle of the ghetto it will have a view of the water from two sides, but you're still living in the middle of the ghetto.



To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (87282)8/27/2007 4:22:41 PM
From: KyrosLRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 306849
 
Real Estate bubbles in Florida stay deflated for a looong time after they burst.

I bought my house near the top of the late seventies bubble in Florida. Its assessed value stayed below my purchase price for almost two decades. It was fine with me, since I bought it to live in and have no intention to "upgrade" -- my taxes were fixed at a ridiculously low level near the trough of the cycle. In the last five years, my house more than tripled. I expect that its nominal value won't change much for the next decade or two.

I bought a Florida condo right before the current bubble started, in the late nineties. I paid a little less than what it sold new in the mid-eighties -- a huge inflation-adjusted price drop over almost a decade and a half.

Inflation-adjusted house prices in Florida had been in crash mode for well over ten years before the current bubble started.

I hear all the arguments about why Florida housing can't go down and LOL.



To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (87282)8/28/2007 7:05:33 AM
From: Dan3Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
Re: will be buyable pretty soon. In the next year I mean.

Rate resets peak next year (2008) which means that foreclosures heading into the market should peak in early 2009 with prices bottoming in 2010-2011 (even REO bank staff have to go through some stages of grief before they give up and drop prices).