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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (21736)8/29/2007 5:22:57 AM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217866
 
Fearing the FED - The FED and other bankers, central and otherwise, are having their annual semi-secret meeting in Jackson Hole, WYoming this week. Cowboy hats, Karaoke, Cocktails and Conspiracy ?

Having all the people in the same place makes it easy to plan to do something.

Having all the people in the same place may make it hard NOT to do something, needed or not.

If I were Ben, I would plan for Wednesday morning announcement, to let everybody get back from the weekend and US markets would have worked off any effects of the 3 day week end. You could make a case for a Thursday or Friday announcement too.

I would drop the discount rate by 0.5, and the Fed Funds rate 0.25. Signalling that money is available - from your bank.

Not 100% bail outs, but enough to keep things functioning, like commercial paper.

Not moving the Fed funds rate helps preserve the USD. Other central bankers will be buying US Dollars to stop any run on USD, at least for a few weeks.



To: TobagoJack who wrote (21736)8/29/2007 5:30:51 AM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217866
 
Outside of your on home, have you thought of a price at which you would sell ? If HK real estate were to go up 30% between now and January 2008, and then crash 50%, what would you want to sell at the top ?

In other words, if HK real estate acts like tech stocks in 1999, what would you do ?

I had about a small chunk of a certain software stock in September 1999. If then bought added about 10% to the position whe it doubled. when I sold in March April, the value was about 5 times...

I spent half of 2000 telling myself I should have bought twice as much in September....