To: Suma who wrote (114888 ) 9/5/2007 4:33:46 PM From: Wharf Rat Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 361199 ML..where you is? Some Tropical storm news: INVEST 99L (#1 in experimental) is already subtropical and likely to be named (#7 - Gabrielle) in the next 48hours. nhc.noaa.gov Hurricane hunters will investigate TODAY. (edit: planes in the air - data back 2-230ish) Models suggests it might make it to CAT2 before land fall.wunderground.com . Model tracks still early - but East coast hit likely - maybe Carolinas. wunderground.com For the TOD content factor, unless it takes as WSW route across Florida, likely little effect on Oil infrastructure. === A update on this seasons intensity from Jeff Master's blog comments: Here is a comparison to other seasons that will likely be what this year is like (all La Nina years except for 2001 which was on the cold side of neutral, excluding 1995 because that was more like 2005 but not as active; note also that the intensity of La Nina varied greatly among these seasons so the actual strength doesn't seem to matter, just the presence): 1998 - 6th storm formed on September 8th; 7th storm formed on September 15th; 14 storms, 10 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes in all 1999 - 6th storm formed on September 7th; 7th storm formed on September 11th; 12 storms, 8 hurricanes and 5 major hurricanes in all 2000 - 6th storm formed on September 10th; 7th storm formed on September 14th; 15 storms, 8 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes in all 2001 - 6th storm formed on September 7th; 7th storm formed on September 11th; 15 storms, 9 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes in all Notice that none of these seasons even had their 6th storm by this point and all were pretty active (while 1999 had 12 storms, near average, 5 were Cat 4s, a record only tied by 2005). However, 2005 was far above these averages with the N storm coming by this date. en.wikipedia.org