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Strategies & Market Trends : World Outlook -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (8747)	9/8/2007 2:31:40 PM
From: LTK007	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 49022

Editing:)<< but military realities might.>> The military realities could be adjudged so potentially disastrous that we have a remote, quite remote chance we have a coup d'etat, but that would demand bi-partisan support from the congress . (An aside , i think the matter of housing, subprime and Iran are the three central issues of The World Outlook, at this time, but of the three, if Iran War comes to reality, it will impact the World Outlook on a ultra negative level that i believe people can't imagine yet, in general, that is--max) But as i count heads that would actually give such support, i have so few that come to mind off hand . Ron Paul, Kucinich, Warner, Webb, Shumer, Biden( he has seems to have shifted fron "Bomb Iran" to seeing it could well be militarily catastrophic), and mattering of others. But without Hillary Clinton and Pelosi and Hagel and Warner in a committed full steam ahead action to break Bush of his now Imperial CIC status, i can't see Bush being stopped. How can the military refuse Bush orders to attack if Congress has not going on attack of Bush? i do not think they can without major bi-partisan support of the most powerful in Congress. Based on conventional wisdom/ reason, many see an attack on Iran would be psychotic and the neo-cons "3-day massive attack" on Iran will lead directly to Iran regime change and "Mission Accomplished" is even more psychotic than their view Iraqis would love and embrace us as their savoir--incredible but true, the same delusional fantasies are at work. But on now reading The Black Swan i have discovered i already use "Black Swan" methodology which calls for NOT fearing being OUTLANDISH . i quote a passage from The Black Swan, from page 26/27. Nassim Taleb writes "Most (advice) consisted of recommendatios such as ' be measured and reasonable in your statements,' contradicting the Black Swan idea, since empirical reality is NOT 'measured' and its own version of 'reasonableness' does NOT correspond to the conventional definition.To be genuinely empirical is to reflect reflect reality as faithfully as possible, to be honorable implies, NOT fearing the appearance and consequences of being OUTLANDISH." i can say i have practiced this oft as a poster these past years though i had no idea a brilliant communicator was to write a book that eloquently approaches this methodology. Taleb bibliography numbers over 1,200 books or essays, heisisstill a part time trader, but ashe says, he works just enough to maintain his modest level of "I am RICH", as he explains in his first year of trading, it was with First Boston and in the year 1987, and at the end of the year he got a major bonus, so major it freed from being a slave for the rest of his life, it was what he called "f*** you" money, or basically, i would say is the equivalent of "you can take this job and shove it!" money. It allowed him to do what he loves most, just THINK, and his time working as a trader just enough to maintain his MODESTrichness. But i think this book will allow him to now do nothing but meditate, this his real passion:) Max