To: RonMerks who wrote (6368 ) 9/12/2007 6:12:44 PM From: SwingTrader2006 Respond to of 50024 If you knew anything at all about real estate, you would never have made this ridiculous statement: "or that the markets in California which have been in complete disconnect with 90% of America for over 3 decades are seeing double digit declines." What is the NUMBER ONE golden rule for investing in real estate? It's THREE words, Ron. LOCATION LOCATION LOCATION There is a REASON why Califonia has always demanded a huge premium over, oh... let's say, Illinois, Iowa, Oklahoma, etc. etc. PERFECT WEATHER, BEAUTIFUL BEACHES, LOTS OF JOBS, etc. California will ALWAYS demand a huge premium over the vast majority of the country. Oh, and THIS statement by you is just "slighty" flawed: "If someone bought their house 5 years ago for say $400,000 and for the first 3 years it went up 5% per year, and then 40% for years 4 and 5 during the crack up boom of the bubble - making it's 'comp' based market value $907,000 at the end of 5 years, and then it falls 40% today- which would take it down to $545,000- it would still have appreciated at an annual rate of over 7%. Which is still above historic averages." Your are leaving out one VERRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRY important FACT about all those people who bought there house 5 years ago and later as the housing prices soared. Wanna know what it is? Lemme tell ya. THE VAST MAJORITY OF THOSE PEOPLE REFINANCED OVER AND OVER AND OVER AGAIN AND USED THEIR EQUITY AS A FREAKING ATM MACHINE...THE VAST MAJORITY OF THOSE PEOPLE WERE TAKING OUT THAT SOARING EQUITY AS SOON AS IT WAS ON PAPER!! HOW IN THE HELL DO YOU THINK THIS ECONOMY HAS THRIVED FOR THE PAST 7 YEARS? As a result, "Joe Q. Homeowner" is now left with a SHIT load of mortgage debt, little or no equity, with no more ability to refinance because of tightening credit, plunging home prices, etc. DO YOU GET IT? It ain't rocket science, pal. TIC TOC.....TIC TOC.....