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To: Dennis Roth who wrote (90671)9/19/2007 8:59:59 PM
From: Dennis Roth  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 206181
 
DJ US GAS: Futures Down As Traders Brush Off Weather And Sell
futuresource.quote.com

BLOOMBERG: N.Y. Natural Gas Falls on Outlook Supplies to Meet Winter Needs
bloomberg.com

Inventories probably increased 65 billion cubic feet last week, according to the median response of 14 analysts in a Bloomberg News survey.

--

REUTERS: U.S. spot natural gas prices
slid Wednesday at nearly every price point for the second day
in a row, pressured by weaker gas futures and expected lighter
demand from mild late-summer weather in much of the nation.
investorvillage.com

Injection estimates for this week's EIA report ranged from
53 bcf to 79 bcf, with most traders and analysts expecting
stocks to rise by about 67 bcf when weekly data is released
Thursday at about 10:30 a.m. EDT, a Reuters survey showed.


Physical Natural Gas Prices - Mostly down.
intelligencepress.com

===

robry825 predicts 69 Bcf for tomorrow.
investorvillage.com

z24blackjet calls for 93 Bcf.
www1.investorvillage.com

===

Tropical Weather

Here's what Dr. Jeff Masters had to say about Invest 93L.

Gulf of Mexico disturbance 93L less of a threat
wunderground.com

Recent Satellite loops and the Tampa Bay long range radar show that a non-tropical low pressure system (93L) appears to be reforming off the southwest coast of Florida. This is an important shift, since it brings the surface low underneath the upper level low pressure system aloft--the same kind of situation one finds in ordinary non-tropical "cutoff lows". This is an unusual event in September over the Gulf of Mexico, and is good news for those potentially living in the path of 93L. A surface low pressure system vertically aligned with a cold-cored upper level low will usually take a day or two to make the transition to a warm-cored tropical storm. During this kind of transition, rapid strengthening is rare, and the chances of 93L ever reaching hurricane strength now appear dim. The latest (12Z, 8am EDT) intensity forecasts from the GFDL and HWRF computer models keep keep 93L below hurricane strength, as does the 18Z (2pm EDT) SHIPS intensity model. The HWRF model indicates that 93L will come ashore at tropical depression strength, and this is entirely possible.

The forecast tracks from the latest cycle of model runs all show a landfall between central Louisiana and Pensacola, Florida on Saturday morning. The exceptions are the NOGAPS and ECMWF models, which show a Sunday morning landfall near the Texas/Louisiana border.

The NOAA jet is scheduled to fly this evening and collect data to help with the Wednesday evening (00Z Thursday) model runs. The models should have a much better handle on 93L early Thursday morning.