Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Portfolio Construction -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Paul Chiu who wrote (660)	9/20/2007 7:53:18 AM
From: Julius Wong	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1964

Paul, Congratulations! Julius

To: Paul Chiu who wrote (660)	9/20/2007 8:42:28 AM
From: Keith Feral	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1964

Excellent charts, Paul! I think it explains how the market has finally grown through the excessive valuations that we reached back in 1999. I remember shivering about how we were going to get through a whole decade with no upside back in 2000. Once the correction started, nothing could stop the negative momentum. Product cycles were tapped out and could not deliver new product cycles since there was no content. iTunes has taken care of that by filling all kinds of computers with music, photos, and video. Now, there is a real demand for tech, storage, and content now that people have high speed, 2GB RAM, and all sorts of great application. Now, it's almost like we are back to the bull market that was shut down in 2000. I'm also getting close to the best valuations in years with one exception, portfolio diversification. Back in 1999, I was 90% long Qualcomm when the market topped out as the stock finished the rally from $55 to $2000. Now, it's pretty strict asset allocation with concentrations in the market leaders in each industry. I'm looking forward to the 4 to 5 year positive outlook you mentioned the other day. Let's do a repeat of 1997 to 2000 and I'll be quite happy:)

To: Paul Chiu who wrote (660)	9/20/2007 8:45:27 AM
From: pickypicky	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1964

Congratulations Paul! VERY nice! picky (eom)

To: Paul Chiu who wrote (660)	9/20/2007 9:17:38 AM
From: y2kate	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1964

Wow, that's absolutely brilliant!! <Applause!!!!> You must do something to celebrate...(: If it were me, I'd be thinking spa (:, or a fantastic trip to some amazing place... By the way, a huge thank you for being so kind & generous with your knowledge here on SI--I am incredibly fortunate to be able to access your formidable and successful brain!! The market this morning... slight pullback looks in store for techs- but looks like GS blew out earnings...why am I NOT surprised...(: which should fuel further rally?

To: Paul Chiu who wrote (660)	10/10/2007 3:53:26 PM
From: Paul Chiu	Respond to of 1964

chi index passes 1250! since that all time high on 9/19/2007 which broke a 7.5 years record...the index has exceeded 1250 last night at 1250.715 or +11%. the spx has climbed +2.03% in the same period. therefore, reflecting on how and why. i see the portfolio now with a leverage factor of 1.28, so expected return should have been 2.03 x 1.28 or + 2.60%. so much for CAPM and FAMA, all hell went loose with: lfc + 26.49% daily at 9-11 sell, close to the end! $100... ptr + 19.53 daily at 2-0 sell, looking good, why? warren! aapl + 19.24 daily at 9-10 sell bidu + 19.14 daily at 7-0 sell chu + 15.46 1-0 sell, a new count goog + 12.50 8-0 sell, needs a full countdown, fact it's 8-0 sell here well before earnings is constructive! making up for underpermance in: dks - 6.85% sbux - 3.62 amat - 2.09 dell + 0.61% intc + 0.62%