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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker, Moneytalk and Marketimer -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: davidk555 who wrote (1030)	9/20/2007 11:59:40 AM
From: Elmer Phud	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 2121

I also must give you kudos for predicting that Bob wouldn't discuss his retroactive designation of the end of the secular bear market theory. Have you ever been through an earthquake? You don't know when it's over until afterwards. Would you call that retroactively declaring the earthquake is over? Fact is you need a little time for the dust to clear, figuratively speaking, to know it's passed. Same thing for a secular bear. Bob's timing model isn't perfect and I don't think he's ever claimed it to be. It just gives us an advantage in predicting future directions. Does it matter if it's a cyclical bull or a secular bull? Would his advice be any different? Would you invest differently? The only question in mind is why doesn't he mention it? How about a useful discussion? You said you thought you had Bob's timing model mostly figured out. Would you mind sharing your thoughts?

To: davidk555 who wrote (1030)	9/20/2007 6:32:13 PM
From: octavian	Respond to of 2121

David K said: <<I also must give you kudos for predicting that Bob wouldn't discuss his retroactive designation of the end of the secular bear market theory. I know that Bob is a serial spinner when it comes to his blown calls and predictions gone wrong, but given that his discussion of secular bear market was such a significant part of the Moneytalk broadcasts over the past 7 years, even I am shocked that he just stopped talking about it completely!>> --Thanks for remembering! -:) Usually, when a person turns out to be right about something, no one remembers! -:) I do think I know Brinker pretty well after all these years, and I also believe I'm able to look at him more objectively than most on these boards.