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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker, Moneytalk and Marketimer -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: sweetsue who wrote (1147)9/24/2007 12:14:42 PM
From: Kirk ©Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 2121
 
PMFJI, but I think his discussion of secular trends is relevant if someone is trying to decide what asset allocation to use.

On Suite101 in the past and now on our facebook forum, there are many who believe Brinker ads value and subscribe to his newsletter. They were not impressed with his attempts to play a "counter trend rally" that he extended to nearly a year with the QQQQs. So, when March 2003 came around and they were told to buy more QQQQs for another counter trend rally of 1 to 3 years, they decided to sit it mostly out. Why should they have expected any more success from whatever model Brinker claimed to be using than the model that failed for the QQQQs that he said would rally "up to 50% or more" well into 2001?

Now I read one of these people is looking to get back into the market on some corrections, but he keeps missing as the market goes higher and his allocation to equities is nearly zero. When pressed here, some like to tell us they don't care if they or the advice under performs an index because they make money selling covered calls, on real estate or perhaps even working as a dealer in Las Vegas since Brinker's recent advice to someone who was retired and seeing excessive inflation was to "go back to work."



To: sweetsue who wrote (1147)9/24/2007 1:21:58 PM
From: Boca_PETERead Replies (2) | Respond to of 2121
 
Sweetie Pie,

Brinker and his Marketimer newsletter express opinions and forecasts at a point in time. From my viewpoint, such opinions and forecasts can only be true or false in retrospect. They could only be lies if Brinker did not believe them when when he expressed such opinions and forecasts. I know of no existing evidence that Brinker does not believe in the opinions and forecasts he expresses. Do you have any such evidence?

P



To: sweetsue who wrote (1147)9/24/2007 1:22:41 PM
From: sweetsueRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 2121
 
Correction to previous post:

I wrote: "Thank you, Pete...you just proved that what Brinker writes in his newsletter is not UNRELIABLE and subject to change (and cover-up) at any time."

Please change that to: ".....you just proved that what Brinker writes in his newsletter is NOT RELIABLE and subject to change (and cover-up) at any time."