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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker, Moneytalk and Marketimer -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Kirk © who wrote (1178)	9/24/2007 4:31:14 PM
From: Math Junkie	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 2121

"I believe it was fund selection in 1986 and 1987.... but I don't have any actual newsletters or hard data." Then how do you know that he underperformed in 1986 and 1987, and how much of an underperformance are we talking about? "I don't think Brinker started his P3 until several years later, perhaps after realizing retired folks did not want to sell near the bottom of the 1987 bear and under perform trying to time the market for several years going forward. A new, conservative portfolio after blowing a bear market would have given him something new to talk about on the radio show that would do well compared to being fully invested, should P1 and P2 continue to not go well. That is why Hulbert averages them all for his overall rating." Brinker's motivations for starting it, or the marketing value of having it, don't alter the fact that an equity index is not an appropriate benchmark for a portfolio whose target allocation is 50% bonds. But this is really a side issue: since P3 wasn't started until March of 1990, it couldn't have been a factor in 1986 - 1987 performance.