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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: bart13 who wrote (86992)	9/28/2007 12:38:55 AM
From: sea_biscuit	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 110194

The fund is in existence since July 24, 2000. So, choosing 2000 as the base year is NOT cherry-picking.

To: bart13 who wrote (86992)	9/28/2007 12:28:16 PM
From: benwood	Respond to of 110194

If 72 months is cherry picking, what is 18 months? The fact that it is the last 18-month window is irrelevant, statistically speaking, but less cherry picking (in general) than finding the optimal 18-month window that proves your point. Looking at the past 18-month window might be more relevant to your own evaluation of a fund, however, simply because it's more recent. That's a different argument altogether (e.g. management change, or change in direction, missed opportunity). And it therefore can be a greater reflection of what to expect going forward. Or, as we all know from, say, the tech heavy mutual funds late '99, not relevant in what to expect in going forward.

To: bart13 who wrote (86992)	9/28/2007 12:50:55 PM
From: lifeisgood	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 110194

You come across as one of those people who can't stand to be proven wrong. For the full market cycle (peak to trough and trough to peak) he has significantly outperformed the S & P. There, now you don't have to work so hard to find a specific date from which he underperformed. It's really quite simple. In the long run the S & P loses significantly compared to Hussman's fund. That is the goal for this fund and he has achieved remarkable success. Since you appear to be a day trader who bases his short-sighted opinion on brief time periods, you don't get the big picture. That's your problem, not mine. best... LIG