To: Dale Baker who wrote (55856 ) 9/28/2007 9:26:26 AM From: Lynn Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 118717 Changing the subject, C came out with a new research report on KPELY last night at 10 p.m. which did not show on their site until 2 this morning (when I was asleep). Checking for it again, here is the title and two paragraphs: KPELY:RESEARCH 2007-09-27:Flash: Keppel Corp (KPLM.SI): Buy: Confidence Boost from Doha North (C) Investment strategy We reiterate our Buy/Low Risk (1L) rating on Keppel Corp, with a target price of S$16.10. We believe Keppel offers investors an undervalued, steady growth business, with relatively low earnings risk and potential upside from business/capital restructuring. Specifically, we expect group earnings to grow by 36% in 2007, driven mainly by O&M, SPC and property. We believe there is upside potential from the O&M unit, where Keppel appears well positioned to benefit from a sustained upturn in demand for the construction and upgrade of offshore rigs, as well as FSO/FPSO conversions. Key potential catalysts include better-than-expected performances in Offshore and Marine and SPC, and any new developments in the Infrastructure division. Valuation Our target price of S$16.10 is based on a marginal discount to our revised RNAV estimate of S$16.14/share - the discount is derived by applying a 15% discount to the value of Keppel's investments in M1 and K1 ventures. We have applied a 15% discount to these investments as we believe Keppel's role in them is more as a passive investor. For the group's offshore and marine business, we use a target Dec FY08E P/E of 22x considering historical trends, the strength of the industry (which we believe will be a multi-year trend), and the company's healthy reputation and solid track record. Our target price equates to 25.0x 2007E P/E, which is around a 50% premium to the Singapore market multiple of 16.7x, and justified in our view by the stock's stronger performance vs. the market. In particular, Keppel's valuations are supported by 24.0% ROE (market 14.3%) and 36.1% FY07E earnings growth (market 12.9%). Our target price is equivalent to a 22.3x 2007E P/CEPS and 5.9x 2007E P/BV. Note that this still implies a prospective 2007E yield of 1.8%.