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To: quehubo who wrote (91304)9/30/2007 9:59:24 AM
From: Keith J  Respond to of 206161
 
que, I am also somewhat baffled where all the NG is being used, as Robry's supply data is still quite strong. Robry's demand data indicates significantly higher generation use for NG, which I can see to some extent. His data also indicates higher industrial use, which I'm less certain about.

I wouldn't have thought NG would be that competitive for generation substitution at this point, but who knows.

KJ



To: quehubo who wrote (91304)9/30/2007 1:48:51 PM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206161
 
Wow - that's a change - >>> "The last EIA flash shows that even with more ng fired generation we used less ng." <<<

Is this because base load ng generator efficiency is up, or because last year had more extreme temperatures which resulted in all generators, even the very inefficient, to be used ?

If the base load or first dispatched ng efficiency is up, that is a major change from past years - and it will reduce ng use through the winter, next summer, and forever.



To: quehubo who wrote (91304)9/30/2007 5:23:08 PM
From: Dennis Roth  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206161
 
New Temperature Outlook for October released by the CPC today.
cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

Text of prognostic Discussion for October (technical)
cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

Not strongly bullish or bearish.

Above normal expected for the first ten days of the month.
wxmaps.org
cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
For what little it's worth.