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Politics : American Presidential Politics and foreign affairs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: PROLIFE who wrote (23345)10/14/2007 2:34:50 PM
From: KLP  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71588
 
Thanks....I like Fred too...In fact, looking at both Repubs and Dems candidates, I've visualized who I would like to invite to my own home. I could easily invite all the Republican candidates, but I sure wouldn't say that about the Democrats who are running.

I would invite Hillary and Obama, and no others....with the specific idea in mind to see how long it would take Hillary to contradict herself and Obama to see if he is as flaming left as I believe him to be. He speaks well, and that is about it.

I'd be very pleased to have Mitt, Fred and Rudy in my home....all the Repubs who are running are a class act.



To: PROLIFE who wrote (23345)11/4/2007 1:12:41 AM
From: Peter Dierks  Respond to of 71588
 
The Republicans Have a Chance
If they clear four hurdles.
by Fred Barnes
11/12/2007, Volume 013, Issue 09

Republicans, though still traumatized by their resounding defeat in the 2006 election, are growing convinced they can win the White House again in 2008. They believe things are beginning to turn their way. The war in Iraq is being won. The Democratic Congress is so unpopular that even House Speaker Nancy Pelosi says she disapproves of it. The economy, despite the subprime mortgage problem, is resilient. And several issues are emerging in their favor--taxes, national security, and illegal immigrants.

Best of all, Hillary Clinton is the likeliest Democratic presidential nominee. She has one quality Republicans appreciate: She unites Republicans everywhere in furious opposition as no other Democrat does. John Edwards, correct for once, told Clinton in last week's Democratic presidential debate that Republicans "keep bringing you up" not because she's a strong candidate but because "they may actually want to run against you." That's exactly what Republicans want. They think she's highly beatable.

Having Clinton as their foe, however, won't be sufficient for Republicans to hold the presidency in 2008. There are (at least) four political problems they must deal with successfully to win--problems that aren't on the front burner except at Republican headquarters in Washington.

Here are the four:

Hispanics. President Bush won 40 percent of the growing Hispanic vote in 2004, but Republican candidates got roughly 30 percent in the 2006 midterm election. And practically everything Republicans have done since then has tended to alienate Hispanics.

Defeat of the immigration reform bill earlier this year, with its pathway to citizenship for illegal immigrants in the United States, troubled many Hispanics. While Republicans weren't solely responsible for killing the bill, they claimed the credit. This fall, Republicans have stressed the less divisive issues of denying driver's licenses and in-state college tuition to illegals.

A massive repair job is needed if Republicans hope to regain support among Hispanics. This is critical. Bush defeated John Kerry by 2.4 percentage points in 2004. If Bush's Hispanic backing had been cut in half, he might have lost. And that's what Republicans are threatened with in 2008--getting half of Bush's vote.

Ohio. Richard Nixon was famous for saying Ohio is the key to winning the White House. No Republican president has ever been elected without winning Ohio. Republicans lost the governorship, a Senate seat, and a House seat in 2006, and three Republican House members are retiring in 2008. The Republicans have slightly less than a 50 percent chance in Ohio next year.

The good news is that Ohio Republicans are prepared to fight. "The negativity against Republicans isn't anything like it was in 2006," Ohio Republican congressman Pat Teaberry says. Unpopular governor Bob Taft III is gone, as is the corruption issue. Ohio Republicans have a solid voter turnout infrastructure that saved House members Steve Chabot and Deborah Pryce last year. They'll need it in 2008.

Ohio Republicans relish the idea of running against Hillary Clinton. But what if she chose Ted Strickland, Ohio's likable Democratic governor, as her running mate? He's a bit of a lightweight, but he's also begun rebuilding the Democratic party in the state. "I don't know what [Strickland] brings you except Ohio," says Teaberry. Ohio is enough.

Turnout. Republicans in most states are not as well equipped as they are in Ohio. That's why the volunteer effort organized in 2004 by Ken Mehlman, Bush's campaign manager, was so important. The Bush campaign signed up several million volunteers, and they more than offset the paid Democratic election workers.

Here's the rub in 2008. A significant (but unknowable) percentage of the Bush workers volunteered because of their strong commitment to George W. Bush. It's doubtful the 2008 Republican nominee will stir that large and zealous an army of volunteers. Democrats, however, can repeat in 2008 what their turnout effort achieved in 2004--that is, the biggest Democratic vote ever. All it takes is money. And the coterie of rich donors who funded the 2004 effort, technically "independent" of the Democratic party and the John Kerry campaign, appear ready to spend millions again.

Bush. Never in modern times has a president who retired with a low approval rating been followed in office by a member of his own party. Recall who came after Harry Truman and Lyndon Johnson. Even popular presidents--Dwight Eisenhower, Bill Clinton--aren't automatically succeeded by fellow party members.

It's true the 2008 election won't be a referendum on the Bush administration. None of the four leading Republican candidates is close to Bush, much less a strong defender. But at 35 percent approval in the latest Fox News poll, Bush could still be a drag on the ticket. At 45 percent, he wouldn't be.

Bush will get a boost from improved conditions in Iraq, assuming progress continues, and from the withdrawal of thousands of American troops. Winning fights with congressional Democrats may help, or may not. Bush needs what political consultant Sig Rogich calls a "moment," an unplanned act that causes people to see someone in a different light. These are rare, but Bush experienced one after 9/11 when he climbed a pile of rubble at Ground Zero with a bullhorn.

None of these problems is insurmountable, though attracting Hispanic voters will be especially difficult. But a year from now, Republican prospects could be considerably brighter. The biggest prize, the White House, could be well within reach. But it won't be easy.

Fred Barnes is executive editor of THE WEEKLY STANDARD.

weeklystandard.com



To: PROLIFE who wrote (23345)11/13/2007 9:33:50 AM
From: Peter Dierks  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 71588
 
Unions 2, Children 1
School choice goes down to defeat in Utah.

BY PETE DU PONT
Monday, November 12, 2007 12:01 a.m. EST

One hundred eleven years ago, in 1896, the state of Utah joined the Union. Today its Legislature is focused on enacting sound policies that will help improve its education system. Its citizens, though, have a different view, for in Tuesday's referendum they voted down a very strong parental school choice bill.

Last February the Utah Legislature enacted the Parent Choice in Education Act, giving parents the option of a $500 to $3,000 scholarship, depending upon their household income, to send their child to the private school of their choice instead of the public school they are attending. Since there are 120 private schools in Utah, with an average tuition of about $4,000, the scholarships would help low-income families get the best education for their children and give Utah parents substantial educational choice.

School choice is not a new idea--there are voucher programs operating in about a dozen states--but the Utah program reflected some fresh thinking. The average cost of the scholarships would be about $2,000 a student, so lawmakers decided to increase support of the state's public schools by allowing them to keep the difference between the cost of educating each of their students--about $7,500 per child--and the scholarships when a child left their school. For each student who chose to move to a private school, his former public school would get the $5,500 difference for five years, after which it would go back to the state's education budget. Utah State University estimated this would give the public schools about $1 billion in additional funding over 13 years.

The cost of the scholarships would be paid from the state's general funds, not from state school funds or local property taxes, costing the Utah government about $5.5 million in the first year and $8.5 million in the second as more children took advantage of the opportunity to go to the private school of their choice, and up to $71 million in the 13th year.

This scholarship program would make public schools better because class sizes would be smaller and more money would be available per pupil. Education would improve, and the scholarships would help level the playing field by giving educational opportunities to families with lower incomes.

School choice and charter schools have proved very effective in improving the quality of education. Milwaukee has had a school choice program since 1990, and a 2004 study showed that vouchers students the previous year had a 64% graduation rate, vs. just 36% for the public schools. A Texas study showed that students at charter schools had a significantly higher increase in performance than their peers in traditional public schools.

And Utah has been on the leading edge of school choice for many years. An initial charter bill was enacted in 1998, challenged and then upheld by the Utah Supreme Court. In 2001 school districts were given the right to approve charter schools. In 2004, lawmakers considered a bill providing a refundable income tax credit for a family's private school expenses. It didn't pass, but the Legislature approved a study of the bill which concluded it could save the state $1.3 billion over 13 years. In 2005, a law was enacted to provide vouchers for special education students, and a school-choice bill nearly passed. When it fell short, House Speaker Greg Curtis lamented, "We do not reward excellence in education. We don't fund it, we don't demand it, and don't encourage it."

That improved with the enactment of the Parent Choice in Education statute last February, but on Tuesday it all fell apart. Utah citizens voted down the voucher plan by 62% to 38%. That is too bad--educational choices by parents for their children is an important concept--but not surprising. While there are successful school choice programs operating in Milwaukee, Cleveland and Washington, 10 state referenda on various voucher proposals have been defeated since 1972, including two defeats each in California, Michigan and Colorado.

One reason for these defeats has been the work of the teachers unions, which oppose school choice of any kind because it limits their power. Passage of the Utah school choice statute earlier this year prompted a union call to arms. The national teachers unions went to war in Utah and won.

When the choice bill was passed by the Utah Legislature last winter, Nancy Pomeroy of Parents Choice in Education enthusiastically recited the score: "Parents and Children 1. Unions and Educrats 0." Unfortunately the score flipped on Tuesday. Patrick Byrne, CEO of Overstock.com and a major backer of the measure, was bitter, saying of Utahns: "They don't care enough about their kids. They care an awful lot about this system, this bureaucracy, but they don't care enough about their kids to think outside the box."

Mr. du Pont, a former governor of Delaware, is chairman of the Dallas-based National Center for Policy Analysis. His column appears once a month.

opinionjournal.com



To: PROLIFE who wrote (23345)11/26/2007 2:10:23 AM
From: Peter Dierks  Respond to of 71588
 
Mark Steyn: GOP looks like the party of diverse ideas

Democrats, meanwhile, have got a woman, a black, a Hispanic and a preening metrosexual – and they all think exactly the same.

By MARK STEYN, ocregister.com
Syndicated columnist, Nov 23, 2007

Only five weeks left to the earliest Primary Day in New Hampshire history, and still, whenever I'm being interviewed on radio or TV, I've no ready answer to the question: Which candidate are you supporting?

If I could just sneak out in the middle of the night and saw off Rudy Giuliani's strong right arm and John McCain's ramrod back and Mitt Romney's fabulous hair and stitch them all together in Baron von Frankenstein's laboratory with the help of some neck bolts, we'd have the perfect Republican nominee. As it is, the present field poses difficulties for almost every faction of the GOP base.

Rudy Giuliani was a brilliant can-do executive who transformed the fortunes of what was supposedly one of the most ungovernable cities in the nation. But on guns, abortion and almost every other social issue he's anathema to much of the party. Mike Huckabee is an impeccable social conservative but, fiscally speaking, favors big-government solutions with big-government price tags. Ron Paul has a long track record of sustained philosophically coherent support for small government but he's running as a neo-isolationist on war and foreign policy. John McCain believes in assertive American global leadership but he believes just as strongly in constitutional abominations like McCain-Feingold.

So if you're a pro-gun anti-abortion tough-on-crime victory-in-Iraq small-government Republican the 2008 selection is a tough call. Mitt Romney, the candidate whose (current) policies least offend the most people, happens to be a Mormon, which, if the media are to be believed, poses certain obstacles for elements of the Christian right.

On the other hand, as National Review's Jonah Goldberg pointed out, the mainstream media are always demanding the GOP demonstrate its commitment to "big tent" Republicanism, and here we are with the biggest of big tents in history, and what credit do they get? You want an anti-war Republican? A pro-abortion Republican? An anti-gun Republican? A pro-illegal immigration Republican? You got 'em! Short of drafting Fidel Castro and Mullah Omar, it's hard to see how the tent could get much bigger. As the new GOP bumper sticker says, "Celebrate Diversity."

Over on the Democratic side, meanwhile, they've got a woman, a black, a Hispanic, a preening metrosexual with an angled nape – and they all think exactly the same. They remind me of "The Johnny Mathis Christmas Album," which Columbia used to re-release every year in a different sleeve: same old songs, new cover. When your ideas are identical, there's not a lot to argue about except biography. Last week, asked about his experience in foreign relations, Barack Obama noted that his father was Kenyan, and he'd been at grade school in Indonesia. "Probably the strongest experience I have in foreign relations," he said, "is the fact I spent four years overseas when I was a child in Southeast Asia." When it comes to foreign relations, he has more of them on his Christmas card list than Hillary or Haircut Boy.

Sen. Clinton was gleefully derisive of this argument. "Voters will have to judge if living in a foreign country at the age of 10 prepares one to face the big, complex international challenges the next president will face," she remarked dryly. "I think we need a president with more experience than that, someone the rest of the world knows, looks up to and has confidence in."

As to what "experience" Hillary has, well, she's certainly visited Africa enough to acquire plenty of venerable African proverbs ("It takes a village", etc.), even if no African has ever been known to use any of them. When I mentioned on the radio how much I was enjoying the Hillary/Barack snippiness, I received a lot of huffy e-mails from Democrats saying, "Oh yeah, well, how much foreign policy experience do Romney or Giuliani have?" Sorry, but you're missing the point. On the GOP side, the debate isn't being conducted on the basis of who was where in fourth grade.

To be sure, John Edwards is said to have been hammering Hillary on her Iraq vote, but this is an almost surreally post-modern dispute. Five years ago, Sen. Clinton's Iraq vote was exactly the same as Sen. Edwards': They both voted for war. The only difference is that the former stands by her vote while the latter has since 'fessed up and revealed he was duped, suckered, played for a sap by George W. Bush.

Sen. Edwards is now demanding Sen. Clinton repudiate her Iraq vote and concede she's as big a patsy and pushover as he is. And this is apparently what passes for "toughness" on the Democrat side. Judging from the number of "North Country For Edwards" signs that have sprouted in the first snows throughout the White Mountains in recent weeks, it may even have some traction on Primary Day.

Let me ask a question of my Democrat friends: What does John Edwards really believe on Iraq? I mean, really? To pose the question is to answer it: There's no there there. In the Dem debates, the only fellow who knows what he believes and says it out loud is Dennis Kucinich. Otherwise, all is pandering and calculation. The Democratic Party could use some seriously fresh thinking on any number of issues – abortion, entitlements, racial preferences – but the base doesn't want to hear, and no viable candidate is man enough (even Hillary) to stick it to 'em. I disagree profoundly with McCain and Giuliani, but there's something admirable about watching them run in explicit opposition to significant chunks of their base and standing their ground. Their message is: This is who I am. Take it or leave it.

That's the significance of Clinton's dithering on driver's licenses for illegal immigrants. There was a media kerfuffle the other day because at some GOP event an audience member referred to Sen. Clinton as a "bitch," and John McCain was deemed not to have distanced himself sufficiently from it. Totally phony controversy: In private, Hillary's crowd liked the way it plays into her image as a tough stand-up broad. And, yes, she is tough. A while back, Elizabeth Edwards had the temerity to venture that she thought her life was happier than Hillary's. And within days the Clinton gang had jumped her in a dark alley, taken the tire iron to her kneecaps, and forced her into a glassy-eyed public recantation of her lese-majeste. If you're looking for someone to get tough with Elizabeth Edwards or RINO senators or White House travel-office flunkies, Hillary's your gal.

But tough on America's enemies? Thatcher-tough? Not a chance.

From: Ann Corrigan of 18247



To: PROLIFE who wrote (23345)12/27/2007 1:00:00 AM
From: Peter Dierks  Respond to of 71588
 
Judicial Imperialism
The U.S. Supreme Court may expand its power at the expense of other countries' sovereignty.

BY ROBERT HADDICK
Wednesday, December 26, 2007 12:01 a.m. EST

Critics of the Bush administration assert that America's wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and other actions, overt and covert, in the larger war on terror, constitute an attempt by President Bush to create an American empire in the classic meaning of that term. These critics claim that the U.S. military has seized foreign countries, and that Mr. Bush has used the government's power to compel obedience from weaker nation-states, in the manner of past imperial powers.

Yet it is the U.S. Supreme Court that could in the months ahead make the most stunning declarations of U.S. authority over the sovereignty of other countries. In a list of cases now before the court, petitioners are calling on the justices to extend the judicial power of the United States into the territory and affairs of other nation-states. Should the court take these breathtaking steps, there will be few limits remaining to the reach of the court's jurisdiction. It would then be up to future presidents and congresses to cope with the consequences of the court's imperial ambitions.

On Dec. 5, 2007, the U.S. Supreme Court heard oral arguments in the case Boumediene v. Bush. The Boumediene case is another in the string of cases emanating from Guantanamo Bay, where attorneys for the detainees there are attempting to get their clients into U.S. federal court. Before 2004 this seemed implausible; U.S. courts were not thought to have the authority to issue writs of habeas corpus beyond the sovereignty of the United States. But in the Supreme Court's first Guantanamo case, Rasul v. Bush (2004), the Court ruled that its authority extended onto the Guantanamo Bay naval base, Cuban territory, because the U.S. government exercises "exclusive jurisdiction and control" over that parcel of land.

As many predicted, that finding has opened up a floodgate for innovative lawsuits and, potentially, a stunning expansion of the Court's geographical reach. During oral arguments in the Boumediene case, Seth Waxman, the attorney for a group of Guantanamo detainees, attempted to explain his geographically expansive vision for the Court's authority:

Waxman: Mr. Chief Justice, let me answer that question directly and then if I may finish my answer to Justice Scalia.
We don't contend that the United States exercises sovereignty over Guantanamo Bay. Our contention is that at common law, sovereignty (a) wasn't the test, as Lord Mansfield explained, and (b) wasn't a clear-cut determine--there weren't clear-cut sovereignty lines in those days. Our case doesn't depend on sovereignty. It depends on the fact that, among other things, the United States exercises--quote--"complete jurisdiction and control over this base." No other law applies. . . .

Justice Samuel Alito: So the answer to Justice Ginsburg's question, it wouldn't matter where these detainees were held so long as they are under U.S. control. If they were held on a U.S. military base pursuant to a standard treaty with another country, if they were in Afghanistan or in Iraq, the result would be the same?

Waxman: No, I think, Justice Alito, I want to be as clear about this as I can be. This is a particularly easy straightforward case, but in another place, jurisdiction would depend on the facts and circumstances, including the nature of an agreement with the resident sovereign over who exercises control.


In other words, by Mr. Waxman's reckoning, U.S. judges should be able use their discretion at evaluating "facts and circumstances" to determine what parcels of foreign territory they would like to rule over.

After hearing this exchange, Chief Justice John Roberts expressed his concerns about Mr. Waxman's vision of where the judicial branch's powers should extend:

Roberts: So to determine whether there's jurisdiction, in every case we have to go through a multifactor analysis to determine if the United States exercises not sovereignty, which you've rejected as the touchstone, but sufficient control over a particular military base? Over the Philippines during World War II, in Vietnam, and it is going to decide in some cases whether the control is sufficient and others whether it isn't?
Waxman: Well, I don't--

Roberts: And that is a judgment we the court would make, not the political branches who have to deal with the competing sovereignties in those situations? . . .

Roberts: Mr. Waxman, this determination, whether it's sovereignty or subjugation or control of non-sovereign territory, would, I expect, have diplomatic consequences. It is, I think, typically an act of war for one country to assert authority and control over another country's jurisdiction [emphasis added].

In July 2005, I commented at my blog on the Supreme Court's early treatment of the Guantanamo issue. That blog post from almost 2 1/2 years ago seems prescient. At that time I wrote:

One wonders whether in the future the court will declare the dirt under the feet of a four-man U.S. Marine reconnaissance patrol in Afghanistan's mountains under U.S. "control", entitling an Al Qaeda fighter they may stumble across to a habeas corpus petition.

What would Mr. Waxman think of this hypothetical situation? We know he wants U.S. judges to be able to rule on "facts and circumstances" such as these.

But this term's Guantanamo cases are not the only ones bearing on the geographical reach of America's judicial power. A recent article in the Washington Post discusses the cases of a Jordanian-American and an Iraqi-American being held in Iraq at prisons run by the U.S. military. One of these men has been convicted and sentenced by an Iraqi criminal court for kidnapping. The other, captured during a raid on a suspected al Qaeda safe house, is awaiting charges from an Iraqi criminal court. Through their attorneys, both men have requested the U.S. court system to stop the U.S. soldiers running the prisons from turning them over to the Iraqi courts for further proceedings.

Will the U.S. Supreme Court now see itself responsible for supervising Iraq's judicial system? These crimes occurred in Iraq, and the Iraqi court system is adjudicating these cases. By running the prisons, presumably for a transitional period only, the U.S. military is acting as an agent of the Iraqi justice system, and is no way a principal in these cases. One can only imagine the howls of protest from editorial writers if the U.S. military or the Bush administration's justice department blatantly interfered with another country's internal judicial proceedings. Why should the standard be different for the Supreme Court?

If the Supreme Court grants all of these habeas corpus claims, it will do so with the belief that it is extending its supposedly civilizing influence to parts of the globe it feels would benefit from that authority. Yet, its actions would have the opposite effect. In the future, no U.S. president would ever contemplate bringing war prisoners to the United States, to Guantanamo Bay or any other place that the U.S. court system might see fit to get its hands on.

In fact, the U.S. military could find it preferable, at least less legally bothersome, to "subcontract" such things as prisoner-holding and interrogations to allied countries, or, where none are available, friendly tribes and militias. And if this doesn't reduce the legal nightmare caused by capturing detainees, the U.S. and its tribal allies might just be inclined not to take any prisoners. Why use rifles and pistols to raid a suspected terror safe-house when a laser-guided bomb will do? Such a practice would reduce the amount of intelligence U.S. military units might have otherwise received from live detainees. Or maybe not, if some judges feel especially inclined to micromanage the war effort.

During the past six years of conflict, nothing has caused more embarrassment and grief to the U.S. military than the detainees it has acquired. Knowing what it knows now, the Bush administration would never have established the detainee camp at Guantanamo Bay. Future presidents will also learn from this experience. They could be forced into a course that will result in much less visibility for future prisoners, and as a consequence, much less humane treatment.

The U.S. Supreme Court has an opportunity to make future conflicts worse. Acting like an imperial power, the court has a chance to extend its authority over the territory of other nation-states. It has a chance to seize appellate authority over another country's judicial system. It has a chance to wreck the next president's ability to conduct diplomacy with other governments. And it has a chance to force warfare deeper into the shadows of lawlessness. Will the Supreme Court try to build an overseas empire? And who will suffer as a result?

Mr. Haddick was a U.S. Marine Corps infantry company commander and staff officer. He was the global research director for a large private investment firm and is now a private investor. His blog is Westhawk.

opinionjournal.com