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To: $Mogul who wrote (346030)10/19/2007 2:50:44 PM
From: Real Man  Respond to of 436258
 
He will cut, but the dollar market may (and will) eventually
raise long term rates to 10% for them, once the falling
dominos get from
riskier bonds to treasuries, and that would be very ugly.
Scared money from defaulting bonds run into treasuries for now,
that is, until that money fully appreciates the currency risk.
But... as long as they run back into treasuries, we are
safe. The sun will burn out some day, but that does not mean
its a good trade. -g- I think 1470-1490 should be the bottom
for SP short term. Then we'll need to look at the rally and
see if we get another new high, if there is a rally. Nobody
knows when the music stops. -g- It's a big dump today.



To: $Mogul who wrote (346030)10/19/2007 7:40:42 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor  Respond to of 436258
 
You mean they will cut TO 100 bps to avoid a recession (yes, again....)