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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Qualified Opinion who wrote (77124)10/21/2007 8:53:22 AM
From: Real Man  Respond to of 94695
 
Yep, that's the plan, and we'll see if it works -g- Rate cuts
should help housing. The dollar is the only problem - the cuts
will "help" it to come down significantly, which will fuel
much more inflation in energy and commodities. That puts
more pressure on J6P.



To: Qualified Opinion who wrote (77124)10/21/2007 9:45:26 PM
From: Real Man  Respond to of 94695
 
Well, I rotated partially into Yen from gold last week, which
is a BK-ish bet, since Yen and stocks are
anticorrelated, but not buying any more puts prior to another
cut -g- Just staying away from stocks altogether. -g- Yen
has been rising lately a lot more than stocks declined, and
didn't decline much when stocks had a sharp rally. Have stops
on gold and will rotate more if they decide to bomb it.



To: Qualified Opinion who wrote (77124)10/21/2007 11:03:08 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
The bounce cash price level for SP is 1472, so we have a
bit of down room left. That's close to 200 DMA, even though
the model knows nothing about it, not so unexpected. The market
could reverse above it, and it will give a buy then. -g-
The effective time frame is into mid-November, so the market
could remain volatile a bit longer unless it drops
to that price level soon, kind of expected with
these cross-currents of deteriorating credit market and
the cutting Fed.