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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (24538)	10/26/2007 8:48:15 PM
From: TobagoJack	Respond to of 217891

i am worried i will have to buy a lot of short term sovereign debt very soon for it must be nearly time for the reckoning

To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (24538)	10/26/2007 9:11:20 PM
From: TobagoJack	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 217891

very current round table e-mail discussion on gold, the physical, and its various derivatives, including hsbc paper gold and gld and such ... conclusion was that, besides physical gold in our hot little hands and stuff hidden away in our own backyard or basement, or stuffed into bank vaults... QUOTE First guy: I believe that is Zurcher Kantonal's . FWIW-I think they are the only 5 star bank left (other than Rabo, possibly). Minimum delivery is 12.5 kg, I believe: zkb.ch Second guy: The listed ETF in Switzerland is the only one in the world where one can convert his shares to any of the precious metals and take delivery. The metals are in the huge vault awaiting redemptions IF they occur. I have seen and touched and tasted the reserves. UNQUOTE

To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (24538)	10/29/2007 8:54:48 PM
From: LTK007	Respond to of 217891

Market behavior post tightening cycles?? Here is the simple/direct historical data on market behavior following the past 10 the end of the past 10 tightening cyles. Via Gregory Spear, of The Spear Report. <<Of the last ten Fed tightening cycles only two resulted in the economy avoiding a recession. All tightening cycles led to significant stock market declines and seven produced outright bear markets (greater than a 20% decline). Of course, it could be different this time, given the global boom, and with such a small number of data points (ten) a statistic like seven or eight out of ten may not be significant. If the current cycle ends in a soft landing, the stat simply changes from seven or eight out of ten to six or seven out of ten, which would hardly be a shocker. The one stat here we'd pay attention to is the ten out of ten significant market declines in the most recent Fed tightening cycles.This could be a good time to ad some conservative, stodgy, non-cyclical ballast to your portfolio, just in case. >>