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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: $Mogul who wrote (77178)	10/29/2007 3:26:53 PM
From: Real Man	Respond to of 94695

It will start its decline after a strong GDP report and no cut this week. That's my take, and it is based on widespread manipulation of various so-called free markets, primarily the market for treasury bonds (5% rates don't make any sense in this environment) forbes.com The dollar should rally, commodities should drop, stocks should rally, but it remains to be seen if they succeed. With all the Fed buying of the dollar in August from Caymans and London (that's the Fed's gateway for dollar support), it still dropped sharply from 82 to 77. Note: Tic data is here, so one can see all the buying -g- Message 24005411 Naturally, I believe that when this manipulation fails, we should see a spectacular market crash, and that the weak dollar is a byproduct of this manipulation. We may see hyperinflation if manipulation continues and intensifies.

To: $Mogul who wrote (77178)	10/29/2007 10:07:44 PM
From: Real Man	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

Another cut, and the dollar is likely to start free falling, IMHO. We could see oil flying to 120 in a heartbeat and stocks crashing then. BB should think twice about doing what he's told to do (25-50 bp cut). I'm not entirely sure that whatever he does is relevant at this point, i.e., the dollar could start free falling at any time regardless. No cut could buy some more time, and that's why I think he will opt for that one, but the dollar run is coming. A 50 bp. cut will likely start this process right NOW. Expected 25 bp. will increase the dollar slope some more.