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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Think4Yourself who wrote (93926)11/6/2007 10:44:12 AM
From: Wyätt GwyönRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 306849
 
a possible weakness in your idea is its reliance on the Fed to bail out ARMs. my understanding is most ARMs are tied to things like LIBOR or the prime rate. i don't think it's the Fed funds rate plus vig. i also believe the stepups can be large, although the first step is admittedly the biggest one.

the entire subprime crisis has been unfolding in an environment of Fed rate cuts.

if you go with the idea that many people will try to hold onto their house as long as possible, then the increasing stepups could be like Chinese water torture.