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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (24897)11/7/2007 9:19:30 PM
From: Rolla Coasta  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 219888
 
And yet the media is focusing all of their attention on Merrill Lynch---which actually has by far THE LEAST EXPOSURE of all of them. What a joke.

perhaps a black ceo deserves some attention :0)



To: TobagoJack who wrote (24897)11/7/2007 9:56:28 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Respond to of 219888
 
Impulsiveness and lack of long term thinking = biological: <biological according to maurice's reckoning.>

Chimps will grab the apple now and to heck with paying back the loan. Loan? What loan? Some animals are cautious, jumpy and quick to flee as a matter of course, being reluctant to take the bait. Some are not. It's in the DNA.

Self-selected and management-selected financial institution people are not the average bloke on the street. They like to keep "dancing" as Citigroup boss said, until the music stops. Then leave others holding the bag. Get high pay while the music's playing, being rewarded for ill-gotten gains, aka excellent financial performance [in the short term, which is how things are usually measured].

Then, when Titanic hits the iceberg after sailing full-steam ahead through financial danger, and it all goes belly-up, jump ship.

A DNA test would be an excellent adjunct to investing. Find those with the "right stuff" and the high debt:equity, wait for a bubble, short them, and wait some more.

Mqurice



To: TobagoJack who wrote (24897)11/7/2007 10:27:41 PM
From: Rolla Coasta  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 219888
 
btw, do you know anyway to buy Hang Seng short fund besides a put warrant of HSI ?
finance.yahoo.com

In US, there're QID, DXD, SDS short index ETFs

I am doing quite well buying Russell 2000 ultra short fund @ $15
finance.yahoo.com



To: TobagoJack who wrote (24897)11/8/2007 3:04:00 AM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 219888
 
an US Intifada? 13 million undocumented immigrants in the United States, most of them Hispanic, who are increasingly vilified in the media, forced further into the underground by spineless politicians and not given any chance to legalize their status by a pusillanimous U.S. Congress.

Angry migrant underclass might erupt in U.S.
http://www.miamiherald.com/news/columnists/andres_oppenheimer/story/295183.html



To: TobagoJack who wrote (24897)11/8/2007 1:34:49 PM
From: carranza2  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 219888
 
Not all Level 3 assets are garbage. But it may not matter.

As noted by the Bank of England, trying to figure out whet they are worth is devilishly difficult. And even more important, the banks own model shows that even tiny changes in the assumptions made by the models result in changes of up to 35% of valuation.

Recent calculations by the Bank of England, for example, show that if tiny changes are made to the type of model typically used by banks to value mortgage-linked debt, the implied price of supposedly “safe” assets can suddenly change by as much as 35 per cent.

ft.com

The only market driven valuation is the ABX, which has plunged.

From another blog, one with which I think you are familiar:

This is indeed the message that comes from true market prices that are now indirectly available via the ABX indices. Those prices tell you not only that the mezzanine and equity tranches of subprime CDOs are now worth close to zero; they also tell you that prices for the AAA and AA tranches – that until recently were hovering near par of 100 – are now down to 79 and 50 respectively. Hundreds of billions of subprime RMBS and senior tranches of CDOs are still being evaluated as if they are worth 100 cents on the dollar. What the ABX is telling you is that they are worth much less; thus the losses from subprime alone are an order of magnitude larger than recognized by most firms. But most firms are not using such market prices – or their proxies – to value their illiquid assets.

What to do? Short ABX, of course, which our friend who uses no capitals has sagely done.

Or, as I am now doing, short the financials via SKF, a 2x leveraged ultrashort ETF.