SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: RockyBalboa who wrote (2102)11/8/2007 8:56:11 PM
From: the navigator  Respond to of 71479
 

oftwominds.com

Empire of Debt I: The Great Unraveling Begins (November 5, 2007)

Some readers have been concerned that my recent posts have been overly bleak or strident. Perhaps; but I sense the Great Unraveling of the Empire of Debt is finally upon us, and breathtaking losses could be revealed any day now.

You cannot properly anticipate the coming wealth destruction unless you understand that the entire model rests on financial instruments (derivatives) which mask and distort risk. Thanks to readers Cheryl A. and U. Doran, I read the best description of how derivatives are written and sold--and how they blow up: Fiasco: The Inside Story of a Wall Street Trade



To: RockyBalboa who wrote (2102)11/8/2007 9:16:45 PM
From: Real Man  Respond to of 71479
 
Yes, T-rates will need to reflect the currency
risk at some point. The disconnect between 4% rates,
10% real inflation, and a rapidly falling dollar is stunning.

The last reported $ printing was $1.396 Billion
on May, 3, 2007

ny.frb.org

If this is indeed the whole story, then there has been
no printing since early May. However, some crucial money
supply statistics, M3, is not reported now. It
keeps growing at a dangerously high rate of 14-15%,
and the dollar keeps falling. The debt is collapsing, whereas
M3 and no printing implies that a lot of new debt
is being created. I can't
connect these two together, so I wonder what's going on behind
the curtain. All that M3 money has to come from some source,
and it's not the taxes (budget deficit)