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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Webster Groves who wrote (71119)11/11/2007 1:47:25 PM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
We are in some agreement here. If we go back to where we started our discussion, you're going to see that, while the U.S is saddled with costs, the rest of the world had the costs they were carrying alleviated.

The demographic window: The costs India, Brazil and the whole South East Asia plus China carried, was the burden of a young -understood as being below producing years- population.

These demograpahic costs were removed as the pyraid grew a bulge aroud the waist. Thus they can grow at a fast pace. Because the end of the Cold War and the geopolitical pressures are not there, they are free to pursue unbridled economic growth.

Compare that situation with Iran where a Cold War-like situation keep them without economic growth even though they export lots of oil. These 70 million cannot be included into the 2.5billion people.

If couple demographic window with free flow of capital the result can be only economic growth skyrocketing.

That's the way I can explain the 2.5 billion and the fact that the US is carrying a burden.