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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: MulhollandDrive who wrote (8433)11/19/2007 5:38:36 PM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
>> i'm going out on a limb here, but i think that retail is going to be much worse than is currently priced in <<

I probably won't be spending as much -- can't control the other half <g> , but I think you are right.



To: MulhollandDrive who wrote (8433)11/19/2007 5:57:47 PM
From: estatemakr  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
I bet you'll lose ;-)

Take a behemoth like Walmart(or dozens of other examples!). Had a pe multiple of 39 at the turn of '99/'00, and now it sports a multiple of 14. Weak consumer spending is already priced in. Based upon valuation, it is very difficult for me to see any semblance of the 1999-2000 bubble and the present. I'll definitely take the other side of your bet



To: MulhollandDrive who wrote (8433)11/21/2007 12:25:13 PM
From: John Pitera  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 33421
 
That's a awful lot of shoes.... I'm sure he's right...

ron insana just said we have another imelda marcos closet full of shoes to drop....



To: MulhollandDrive who wrote (8433)11/25/2007 10:31:12 PM
From: estatemakr  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 33421
 
Retail sales data thru the key Thanksgiving weekend seems to indicate that your prediction of the demise of the consumer is premature??